Hillerød v Aalborg

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hillerød win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Hillerød 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–26–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Hillerød v Aalborg
4. 5′Hillerød ahead on 4′ through T. Arndal. 1–0. 1–0 · 66–19–16
5. 5′We said Hillerød at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–19–16
6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' Hillerød 1–0 Aalborg · T. Arndal
7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Hillerød win: 40% at kick-off, 66% now
8. 11′🟨 YELLOW · 10' K. Normann · Aalborg
9. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' W. Glindtvad · Hillerød
10. 21′V. Moller scores for Aalborg on 21′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 37–29–33
11. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Hillerød 1–1 Aalborg · V. Moller
12. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Hillerød win: 40% at kick-off, 37% now
13. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Hillerød win 35%)
14. 45′HALF-TIME Hillerød 1–1 Aalborg
15. 46′SECOND HALF Hillerød 1–1 Aalborg
16. 50′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 31–40–28
17. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Hillerød win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
18. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' H. Derrar · Hillerød
19. 58′We said Hillerød at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–46–26
20. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Hillerød · On: M. Munck · Off: T. Arndal
21. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Hillerød · On: M. Mouritz · Off: B. Kucukylidiz
22. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Aalborg · On: W. Thomsen · Off: K. Normann
23. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Aalborg · On: A. Hapnes · Off: M. Tielemans
24. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' H. Sulemana · Hillerød
25. 66′We said Hillerød at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–53–22
26. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Hillerød · On: R. Corlu · Off: S. Opoku
27. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Hillerød · On: P. Kallsberg · Off: H. Sulemana
28. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Hillerød win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
29. 74′We said Hillerød at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–17
30. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Aalborg · On: M. Kaasa · Off: V. Moller
31. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Aalborg · On: K. John · Off: J. Adedeji
32. 79′We said Hillerød at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–13
33. 80′80′: F. Borsting puts it into the Aalborg net, and it is 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
34. 80′We said Hillerød at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
35. 80′79′: F. Borsting puts it into the Aalborg net, and it is 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
36. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Hillerød 2–1 Aalborg · F. Borsting (own goal)
37. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Hillerød win: 40% at kick-off, 88% now
38. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Hillerød win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 72%)
39. 81′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 89–11–1
40. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' F. Borsting · Aalborg
41. 82′We said Hillerød at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
42. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Hillerød · On: A. Hoyer · Off: M. Julo
43. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Hillerød win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
44. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' E. Makolli · Aalborg
45. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Aalborg · On: J. Hvistendahl · Off: F. Borsting
46. 89′We said Hillerød at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
47. FTFULL TIME Hillerød 2–1 Aalborg
48. FTHillerød 2–1 Aalborg · Hillerød win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.