Esbjerg v Hvidovre prediction · 1. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

EsbjergDrawHvidovre

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hvidovre 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hvidovre are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Esbjerg 31%, draw 26%, Hvidovre 43%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Esbjerg v HvidovreBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Esbjerg win31%

Draw26%

Hvidovre win43%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueBlue Water Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Esbjerg

Hvidovre

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · the Danish 1. Division

Last match: 23 Oct · the Danish 1. Division

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hvidovre winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Hvidovre a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Esbjerg v Hvidovre~~1.28 – 1.53

~~Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 28~~12 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Esbjerg win	31%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Hvidovre win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Esbjerg or draw	57%	–	–
Esbjerg clean sheet	22%	–	–
Hvidovre clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 6.8 8.7 7.1 3.6 1 7.2 12.2 8.9 4.6 2 4.9 7.4 5.6 2.9 3 2.1 3.2 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Esbjerg down, Hvidovre across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,032 1. Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.2% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Esbjerg at home: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Hvidovre away: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.28 goals for Esbjerg, 1.53 for Hvidovre. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HVI 2–1 ESB · HVI 1–4 ESB · ESB 1–0 HVI · HVI 1–3 ESB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 4 Sept

ESBJERG

LDLDDW0–1 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 3–3 · 0–0 · 2–1

HVIDOVRE

WDWWWD3–1 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hvidovre	12	+11	28
2	Vejle	12	+9	23
3	FC Fredericia	12	+10	20
4	AB Copenhagen	12	+5	18
5	Aarhus Fremad	12	−1	15
6	Hobro	12	−7	15
7	Aalborg	12	−2	14
8	Kolding IF	12	−2	12
9	Hillerød	12	−3	12
10	HB Koge	12	−5	11
11	Vendsyssel FF	12	−7	11
12	Esbjerg	12	−8	10