Esbjerg v FC Fredericia

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Fredericia win at 51%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC Fredericia was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 25–25–51
3. 1′KICK-OFF Esbjerg v FC Fredericia
4. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 14' N. Strunck · Esbjerg
5. 39′SUBSTITUTION · 38' Esbjerg · On: N. Strandby · Off: P. Bjur
6. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' FC Fredericia win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
7. 45′HALF-TIME Esbjerg 0–0 FC Fredericia
8. 45′SECOND HALF Esbjerg 0–0 FC Fredericia
9. 48′We said FC Fredericia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 22–38–39
10. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' L. Dauerhoj · FC Fredericia
11. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was FC Fredericia win 39%)
12. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 23–37–40
13. 58′We said FC Fredericia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 20–45–34
14. 58′57′: A. Bondergaard on the scoresheet for FC Fredericia. 0–0 · 20–45–34
15. 58′We published FC Fredericia at 51%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 4–17–80
16. 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Esbjerg 0–1 FC Fredericia · A. Bondergaard (penalty)
17. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' FC Fredericia win: 51% at kick-off, 80% now
18. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' FC Fredericia win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 45%)
19. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' J. Ampofo · Esbjerg
20. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' FC Fredericia win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
21. 64′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 19–51–31
22. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Esbjerg · On: J. Lucena · Off: P. Tjornelund
23. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Esbjerg · On: M. Hansen · Off: A. Ahmad
24. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Esbjerg 1–1 FC Fredericia
25. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' FC Fredericia win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
26. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was FC Fredericia win 81%)
27. 65′Esbjerg level it on 65′ through M. Hansen. 1–1. 1–1 · 18–52–30
28. 65′Esbjerg level it on 64′ through M. Hansen. 1–1. 1–1 · 18–52–30
29. 66′We said FC Fredericia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 18–53–29
30. 67′J. Ampofo scores for Esbjerg on 67′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 71–23–6
31. 67′We said FC Fredericia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–1 · 71–23–6
32. 67′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 71–23–6
33. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Esbjerg 2–1 FC Fredericia · J. Ampofo
34. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' FC Fredericia win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
35. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Esbjerg win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 54%)
36. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' FC Fredericia · On: A. Pyndt · Off: W. Madsen
37. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' FC Fredericia · On: F. Winther · Off: D. Haarbo
38. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' FC Fredericia · On: C. Jorgensen · Off: B. Bang-Kittilsen
39. 71′We said FC Fredericia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–21–4
40. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' N. Strandby · Esbjerg
41. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Esbjerg · On: L. Vigen · Off: N. Strunck
42. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Esbjerg · On: A. Sonderskov · Off: M. Brajanac
43. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' FC Fredericia win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
44. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' FC Fredericia · On: E. Hansborg · Off: A. Nygaard
45. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' FC Fredericia · On: N. Thomsen · Off: J. Lindekilde
46. FTFULL TIME Esbjerg 2–1 FC Fredericia
47. FTEsbjerg 2–1 FC Fredericia · FC Fredericia win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.