Esbjerg v Aalborg

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Aalborg win at 40%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Esbjerg v Aalborg
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Aalborg was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 35–24–41
4. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Esbjerg 0–1 Aalborg · J. Adedeji
5. 8′7′ and it is 0–1: J. Adedeji on the scoresheet for Aalborg. 0–1 · 16–19–65
6. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Aalborg win: 40% at kick-off, 65% now
7. 10′We published Aalborg at 40%. Our model now makes it 65%. 0–1 · 15–19–65
8. 11′⚽ GOAL · 9' Esbjerg 1–1 Aalborg · J. Ampofo
9. 12′Esbjerg ahead on 9′ through J. Ampofo. 1–1. 1–1 · 35–26–40
10. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Aalborg win: 40% at kick-off, 40% now
11. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Esbjerg 1–2 Aalborg · M. Kubel
12. 28′M. Kubel scores for Aalborg on 26′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 13–20–67
13. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Aalborg win: 40% at kick-off, 67% now
14. 41′⚽ GOAL · 39' Esbjerg 2–2 Aalborg · M. Brajanac
15. 42′39′ and it is 2–2: M. Brajanac on the scoresheet for Esbjerg. 2–2 · 31–34–35
16. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Aalborg win: 40% at kick-off, 35% now
17. 44′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 30–35–34
18. 45′HALF-TIME Esbjerg 2–2 Aalborg
19. 46′SECOND HALF Esbjerg 2–2 Aalborg
20. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Aalborg win 33%)
21. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Aalborg win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
22. 61′We said Aalborg at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 2–2 · 25–46–28
23. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Esbjerg · On: O. Boesen · Off: M. Hansen
24. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Esbjerg · On: A. Ahmad · Off: M. Maden
25. 68′We said Aalborg at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 22–54–24
26. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Aalborg · On: M. Kaasa · Off: M. Tielemans
27. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Aalborg · On: W. Thomsen · Off: M. Kubel
28. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Esbjerg · On: L. Vigen · Off: G. Madsen
29. 79′We said Aalborg at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 2–2 · 14–71–15
30. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Aalborg · On: F. Borsting · Off: T. Persyn
31. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Aalborg win: 40% at kick-off, 15% now
32. 81′We said Aalborg at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 12–75–13
33. 86′We said Aalborg at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 6–87–7
34. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Aalborg · On: K. John · Off: K. Normann
35. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Aalborg · On: A. Hapnes · Off: V. Moller
36. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Aalborg win: 40% at kick-off, 7% now
37. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Esbjerg · On: N. Strandby · Off: J. Ampofo
38. 89′We said Aalborg at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 2–2 · 2–97–2
39. 90′Aalborg ahead on 89′ through M. Kaasa. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–0–100
40. 90′L. Vigen scores for Esbjerg on 90′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 0–100–0
41. 90′6 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 0–100–0
42. 90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Esbjerg 2–3 Aalborg · M. Kaasa (assist W. Thomsen)
43. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Aalborg win: 40% at kick-off, 100% now
44. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Aalborg win is now our likeliest result at 100% (was Draw 0%)
45. 90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Esbjerg 3–3 Aalborg · L. Vigen
46. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Aalborg win: 40% at kick-off, 0% now
47. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 100% (was Aalborg win 0%)
48. FTFULL TIME Esbjerg 3–3 Aalborg
49. FTEsbjerg 3–3 Aalborg · Aalborg win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.