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Model 1.2

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AB Copenhagen v Kolding IF

AB Copenhagen
1–0Full time
Kolding IF

1. Division · SAT 24 OCT · Gladsaxe Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
AB Copenhagen 1–0 Kolding IF AB COPENHAGEN WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said AB Copenhagen win42%
The market said44%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.509
The market’s Brier score0.479

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said AB Copenhagen win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: AB Copenhagen 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–28–30
  3. 1′KICK-OFF AB Copenhagen v Kolding IF
  4. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 7' O. Mullings · AB Copenhagen
  5. 30′SUBSTITUTION · 28' AB Copenhagen · On: N. Engell · Off: C. Grening
  6. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was AB Copenhagen win 36%)
  7. 45′HALF-TIME AB Copenhagen 0–0 Kolding IF
  8. 46′SECOND HALF AB Copenhagen 0–0 Kolding IF
  9. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kolding IF · On: L. Laursen · Off: A. Halsgaard Corrected
  10. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' AB Copenhagen win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
  11. 53′We said AB Copenhagen at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–46–23
  12. 55′We said AB Copenhagen at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–23
  13. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 29–48–23
  14. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Kolding IF · On: A. Manneh · Off: M. Soomets
  15. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Kolding IF · On: V. Morozov · Off: M. Lynge
  16. 65′We said AB Copenhagen at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–19
  17. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' AB Copenhagen win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
  18. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' AB Copenhagen · On: J. Fernandes · Off: M. Rasmussen
  19. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' AB Copenhagen · On: T. Damtoft · Off: A. Koudelka
  20. 73′We said AB Copenhagen at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–66–15
  21. 78′We said AB Copenhagen at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
  22. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' AB Copenhagen win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  23. 83′We said AB Copenhagen at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–7
  24. 84′N. Engell scores for AB Copenhagen on 83′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 93–6–0
  25. 84′We said AB Copenhagen at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 1–0 · 93–6–0
  26. 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' AB Copenhagen 1–0 Kolding IF · N. Engell
  27. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' AB Copenhagen win: 42% at kick-off, 93% now
  28. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' AB Copenhagen win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 83%)
  29. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Kolding IF · On: A. Arshad · Off: T. Augustinus-Jensen
  30. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Kolding IF · On: G. Friberg · Off: I. Tannander Corrected
  31. 87′We said AB Copenhagen at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  32. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' AB Copenhagen · On: A. Horup · Off: M. Vesterholm
  33. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' AB Copenhagen · On: T. Hageltorn · Off: O. Mullings
  34. FTFULL TIME AB Copenhagen 1–0 Kolding IF
  35. FTAB Copenhagen 1–0 Kolding IF · AB Copenhagen win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

AB Copenhagen are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: AB Copenhagen 42%, draw 28%, Kolding IF 30%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on AB Copenhagen v Kolding IFBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

AB Copenhagen win42%
Draw28%
Kolding IF win30%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueGladsaxe Stadium

RefereeF. Klarlund

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AB Copenhagen

Kolding IF

8Days since last match8

Last match: 16 Oct · the Danish 1. Division

Last match: 16 Oct · the Danish 1. Division

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4AB Copenhagen11+415
8Kolding IF11−112

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ab copenhagen winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
42% The market44%
Us42%
Market44%

We make AB Copenhagen a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · AB Copenhagen v Kolding IF1.36 – 1.11
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 29 AugW3 D0 L3 · W2 D3 L1
Table places · points 15 v 124 v 8
The market · AB Copenhagen win44% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:16
Our probability · AB Copenhagen win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
AB Copenhagen win42%44%−2
Draw28%25%+3
Kolding IF win30%31%−1
Over 2.5 goals45%59%−14
Both teams to score50%62%−12
Over 1.5 goals71%80%−9
Over 3.5 goals24%38%−14
AB Copenhagen or draw70%69%+1
AB Copenhagen clean sheet33%––
Kolding IF clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%
0123450 9.3 8.8 5.3 1 10.9 13.1 7.0 2.6 2 7.8 8.5 4.7 3 3.6 3.9 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+AB Copenhagen down, Kolding IF across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2018/19
Goals a meeting2.29
Over 2.53 of 7
Both scored3 of 7
Last meetingsKOL 2–1 ABC · ABC 1–3 KOL · KOL 1–0 ABC · ABC 3–3 KOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 29 Aug

AB COPENHAGEN

LLLWWW1–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 3–2

KOLDING IF

WLDDDW2–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Hvidovre12+1128
2Vejle11+922
3FC Fredericia11+1120
4AB Copenhagen11+415
5Hobro12−715
6Aalborg11−114
7Aarhus Fremad11−114
8Kolding IF11−112
9HB Koge12−511
10Vendsyssel FF12−711
11Hillerød11−49
12Esbjerg11−97

The competition's standings before kick-off.