Home › Football › 1. Division › Aalborg v Vejle
Back

Aalborg v Vejle
Aalborg
Vejle1. Division · SAT 17 OCT · Aalborg Portland Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Vejle win at 45%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Vejle 45% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 32–23–44
- 1′KICK-OFF Aalborg v Vejle
- 17′M. Duelund scores for Vejle on 17′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 14–18–69
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Aalborg 0–1 Vejle · M. Duelund
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Vejle win: 45% at kick-off, 69% now
- 18′We said Vejle at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 14–18–69
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' P. Sondergaard · Aalborg
- 31′We said Vejle at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 12–19–70
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 12–19–70
- 36′SUBSTITUTION · 36' Aalborg · On: A. Hapnes · Off: M. Tielemans
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' C. Sorensen · Vejle
- 45′HALF-TIME Aalborg 0–1 Vejle
- 46′SECOND HALF Aalborg 0–1 Vejle
- 54′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Aalborg · On: F. Borsting · Off: T. Persyn
- 59′We said Vejle at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Vejle win: 45% at kick-off, 75% now
- 71′We said Vejle at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Vejle · On: G. Marcussen · Off: W. Faghir
- 79′We said Vejle at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 0–1 · 1–13–86
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Vejle win: 45% at kick-off, 86% now
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Aalborg · On: W. Thomsen · Off: K. Normann
- 83′We said Vejle at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Aalborg · On: K. John · Off: M. Kubel
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Vejle · On: M. Vestergaard · Off: T. Gundelund
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Aalborg · On: N. A. Arnorsson · Off: E. Makolli
- 89′We said Vejle at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Vejle win: 45% at kick-off, 95% now
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' N. A. Arnorsson · Aalborg
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Vejle · On: M. Jensen · Off: L. From
- FTFULL TIME Aalborg 0–1 Vejle
- FTAalborg 0–1 Vejle · Vejle win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassVejle are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Aalborg 32%, draw 23%, Vejle 45%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Aalborg win32%
Vejle win45%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:30
RoundMatchday 11
VenueAalborg Portland Park
RefereeP. Gammelholm
Match timeline
All events
AalborgMIN
VejleEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Aalborg
Vejle
Last match: 10 Oct · the Danish 1. Division
Last match: 9 Oct · the Danish 1. Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Vejle a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aalborg win | 32% | 31% | +1 |
| Draw | 23% | 26% | −3 |
| Vejle win | 45% | 44% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 62% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 64% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 82% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 41% | +3 |
| Aalborg or draw | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Aalborg clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Vejle clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 21 Aug
AALBORG
VEJLE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre | 10 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 | Vejle | 10 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 10 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 | AB Copenhagen | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Aarhus Fremad | 11 | −1 | 14 |
| 7 | Hobro | 10 | −4 | 14 |
| 8 | Kolding IF | 11 | −1 | 12 |
| 9 | HB Koge | 11 | −5 | 10 |
| 10 | Vendsyssel FF | 11 | −7 | 10 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 10 | −3 | 9 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 11 | −9 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Hvidovre
FC Fredericia
AB Copenhagen
Aarhus Fremad
Hobro
Kolding IF
HB Koge
Vendsyssel FF
Hillerød
Esbjerg