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Vysočina Jihlava v Vlašim

Vysočina Jihlava
2–0Full time
Vlašim

FNL · FRI 23 OCT · Stadion v Jiraskove ulici

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 19:31
Vysočina Jihlava 2–0 Vlašim VYSOČINA JIHLAVA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Vysočina Jihlava win39%
The market said49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.563
The market’s Brier score0.394

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 23 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vysočina Jihlava win at 39%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Vysočina Jihlava 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–26–35
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Vysočina Jihlava v Vlašim
  4. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Vlašim
  5. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Vysočina Jihlava win 34%)
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Vysočina Jihlava 0–0 Vlašim
  7. 45′SECOND HALF Vysočina Jihlava 0–0 Vlašim
  8. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Vysočina Jihlava win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
  9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 31–39–29
  10. 57′We said Vysočina Jihlava at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 27–47–25
  11. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Vlašim · On: S. Pikolon · Off: R. Teterja
  12. 64′We said Vysočina Jihlava at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–54–22
  13. 72′We said Vysočina Jihlava at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–63–18
  14. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Vysočina Jihlava win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
  15. 74′We said Vysočina Jihlava at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–15–2
  16. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Vysočina Jihlava · On: L. Moudry · Off: B. Labaran Khalid
  17. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Vysočina Jihlava · On: M. Krehlik · Off: R. Mokrovics
  18. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Vlašim · On: D. Soukenik · Off: J. Dufek
  19. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Vlašim · On: D. Hajek · Off: L. Musil
  20. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Vysočina Jihlava 1–0 Vlašim
  21. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Vysočina Jihlava win: 39% at kick-off, 84% now
  22. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Vysočina Jihlava win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 66%)
  23. 76′Vysočina Jihlava score on 75′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 85–14–1
  24. 76′We said Vysočina Jihlava at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–1
  25. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Vysočina Jihlava
  26. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Vlašim
  27. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Vysočina Jihlava win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
  28. 82′We said Vysočina Jihlava at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  29. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Vlašim · On: B. Ahmed · Off: J. Zaviska
  30. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Vlašim · On: V. Jindra · Off: B. Djordjic
  31. 88′We said Vysočina Jihlava at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  32. 93′Vysočina Jihlava find the net on 90′. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  33. 93′We said Vysočina Jihlava at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  34. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Vysočina Jihlava 2–0 Vlašim
  35. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Vysočina Jihlava win: 39% at kick-off, over 99% now
  36. FTFULL TIME Vysočina Jihlava 2–0 Vlašim
  37. FTVysočina Jihlava 2–0 Vlašim · Vysočina Jihlava win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Vysočina Jihlava just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Vysočina Jihlava 39%, draw 26%, Vlašim 35%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Vysočina Jihlava v VlašimBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Vysočina Jihlava win39%
Draw26%
Vlašim win35%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueStadion v Jiraskove ulici

RefereeA. Mach

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vysočina Jihlava

Vlašim

7Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · FNL

Last match: 16 Oct · FNL

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Vysočina Jihlava11+720
5Vlašim11+618

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vysočina jihlava winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
39% The market49%
Us39%
Market49%

We make Vysočina Jihlava a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Vysočina Jihlava v Vlašim1.37 – 1.29
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 28 AugW4 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 20 v 182 v 5
The market · Vysočina Jihlava win49% · ours 39%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 16:40
Our probability · Vysočina Jihlava win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Vysočina Jihlava win39%49%−10
Draw26%25%+1
Vlašim win35%26%+9
Over 2.5 goals49%59%−10
Both teams to score54%61%−7
Over 1.5 goals74%79%−5
Over 3.5 goals28%38%−10
Vysočina Jihlava or draw65%74%−9
Vysočina Jihlava clean sheet28%––
Vlašim clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%
0123450 6.9 9.3 5.8 2.5 1 9.8 12.1 7.9 3.4 2 6.6 8.4 5.4 2.3 3 3.0 3.8 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Vysočina Jihlava down, Vlašim across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored4 of 10
Last meetingsVYS 1–1 VLA · VLA 3–0 VYS · VLA 1–0 VYS · VYS 2–2 VLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in FNL this season · since 28 Aug

VYSOČINA JIHLAVA

LWWWDW1–3 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 3–1

VLAŠIM

LWLWWW1–2 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 2–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Karviná11+1124
2Vysočina Jihlava11+720
3Dukla Praha11+320
4Ústí nad Labem11+619
5Vlašim11+618
6Příbram11+217
7Baník Ostrava II11+314
8Táborsko11014
9Viktoria Žižkov11−714
10Slavia Praha II11+113
11Kladno11−113
12Opava11−313
13Arsenal Česká Lípa11−612
14Prostějov11−110
15Třinec11−710
16Hanácká11−146

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.