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Vysočina Jihlava v Prostějov

Vysočina Jihlava

2–2Full time

Prostějov

FNL · FRI 9 OCT · Stadion v Jiraskove ulici

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Vysočina Jihlava 2–2 Prostějov VYSOČINA JIHLAVA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vysočina Jihlava win~~50%

~~The market said~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.867

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.934

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Vysočina Jihlava win at 50%.
73′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Prostějov · On: J. Koudelka · Off: S. Jalovicor
73′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Prostějov · On: E. Okeke · Off: P. Volesky
73′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Prostějov · On: D. Dziuba · Off: J. Kadlec
73′🟨 YELLOW · 55' M. Krehlik · Vysočina Jihlava
73′⚽ GOAL · 57' Vysočina Jihlava 2–1 Prostějov · J. Koudelka
73′🟨 YELLOW · 63' J. Koudelka · Prostějov
73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Prostějov · On: M. Surzyn · Off: T. Ushiyama
73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Prostějov · On: D. Alijagic · Off: M. Cernak
73′🟨 YELLOW · 70' D. Dziuba · Prostějov
73′SECOND HALF Vysočina Jihlava 2–1 Prostějov
76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Vysočina Jihlava · On: J. Haala · Off: V. Strakl
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Vysočina Jihlava 2–2 Prostějov
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Vysočina Jihlava 2–2 Prostějov · D. Alijagic
FTFULL TIME Vysočina Jihlava 2–2 Prostějov
FTVysočina Jihlava 2–2 Prostějov · Vysočina Jihlava win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Vysočina Jihlava win50%

Draw25%

Prostějov win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Stadion v Jiraskove ulici

Referee · L. Nehasil

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Vysočina Jihlava

Formation not confirmed

31 F. Slavata

8 D. Jambor

9 T. Omotoye

24 M. Krehlik

17 B. Labaran Khalid

18 V. Strakl

22 M. Lacko

25 D. Matousek

27 A. Cermak

6 D. Stetka

46 O. Sambou

Coach · Marek Nikl

Substitutes

10 · L. Moudry

11 · R. Krivanek

19 · J. Haala

21 · M. Hosek

33 · O. Mastny

40 · I. Alkasim

42 · M. Selicha

45 · M. Odekunle

66 · M. Sinanaj

70 · I. Usman

Prostějov

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Kerl

3 L. Endl

4 T. Ushiyama

6 S. Jalovicor

7 M. Polasek

9 J. Matousek

13 M. Sindelar

16 P. Volesky

21 J. Kadlec

32 M. Cernak

79 S. Polasek

Coach · Bohuslav Pilny

Substitutes

8 · D. Bauer

14 · D. Dziuba

18 · M. Jaron

19 · D. Fiser

22 · M. Zapletal

23 · M. Surzyn

26 · E. Okeke

27 · P. Mikulec

29 · D. Alijagic

70 · J. Koudelka

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Vysočina Jihlava

Formation not confirmed

31 F. Slavata

8 D. Jambor

9 T. Omotoye

24 M. Krehlik

17 B. Labaran Khalid

18 V. Strakl

22 M. Lacko

25 D. Matousek

27 A. Cermak

6 D. Stetka

46 O. Sambou

Coach · Marek Nikl

Substitutes

10 · L. Moudry

11 · R. Krivanek

19 · J. Haala

21 · M. Hosek

33 · O. Mastny

40 · I. Alkasim

42 · M. Selicha

45 · M. Odekunle

66 · M. Sinanaj

70 · I. Usman

Prostějov

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Kerl

3 L. Endl

4 T. Ushiyama

6 S. Jalovicor

7 M. Polasek

9 J. Matousek

13 M. Sindelar

16 P. Volesky

21 J. Kadlec

32 M. Cernak

79 S. Polasek

Coach · Bohuslav Pilny

Substitutes

8 · D. Bauer

14 · D. Dziuba

18 · M. Jaron

19 · D. Fiser

22 · M. Zapletal

23 · M. Surzyn

26 · E. Okeke

27 · P. Mikulec

29 · D. Alijagic

70 · J. Koudelka

Our number · vysočina jihlava winPublished 9 Oct 17:06

50% The market55%

Us50%

~~Market~~55%

We make Vysočina Jihlava a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · vysočina jihlava win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vysočina Jihlava win	50%	55%	−6
Draw	25%	24%	+2
Prostějov win	25%	21%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	47%	58%	−11
Both teams to score	50%	57%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	72%	79%	−7
Over 3.5 goals	26%	37%	−11
Vysočina Jihlava or draw	75%	79%	−4
Vysočina Jihlava clean sheet	36%	–	–
Prostějov clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.0%

0123450 7.7 7.9 4.0 1 12.0 12.0 6.1 2.1 2 9.2 9.3 4.7 3 4.8 4.8 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vysočina Jihlava down, Prostějov across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,272 FNL matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

FNL matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.1% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.40 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vysočina Jihlava at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Prostějov away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for Vysočina Jihlava, 1.01 for Prostějov. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~VYS 1–1 PRO · PRO 0–3 VYS · VYS 3–0 PRO · PRO 2–1 VYS

Form · last six in FNL

VYSOČINA JIHLAVA

WLLWWW4–0 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–2

PROSTĚJOV

DWLDDD2–2 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Karviná	9	+7	18
2	Ústí nad Labem	9	+7	18
3	Dukla Praha	9	+5	17
4	Vysočina Jihlava	9	+5	16
5	Příbram	9	+1	14
6	Slavia Praha II	9	+4	13
7	Táborsko	9	+1	13
8	Vlašim	9	+3	12
9	Baník Ostrava II	9	+3	11
10	Kladno	9	−1	10
11	Opava	9	−2	10
12	Viktoria Žižkov	9	−8	10
13	Arsenal Česká Lípa	9	−6	9
14	Prostějov	9	−1	8
15	Třinec	9	−7	7
16	Hanácká	9	−11	6