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Třinec v Kladno

Třinec

0–1Full time

Kladno

FNL · SAT 10 OCT · Stadion Rudolfa Labaje

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Třinec 0–1 Kladno TŘINEC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Třinec win~~39%

~~The market said~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.623

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.669

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Třinec win at 39%.
1′KICK-OFF Třinec v Kladno
2′Little has changed for our model: Třinec 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–25–36
7′Little has changed for our model: Třinec 39% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–26–35
20′SUBSTITUTION · 21' Kladno · On: K. Hrubes · Off: J. Kozojed
45′HALF-TIME Třinec 0–0 Kladno
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Třinec win 32%)
45′SECOND HALF Třinec 0–0 Kladno
49′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Kladno
52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Třinec win 32%)
53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Třinec win 32%)
54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Třinec win 32%)
56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Třinec win 32%)
57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Třinec win 32%)
73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Třinec · On: L. Zdrazil · Off: M. Samiec
73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Třinec · On: C. Agbo · Off: O. Machuca
80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Kladno · On: O. Novotny · Off: T. Smejkal
80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Kladno · On: H. Hruska · Off: J. Chalupa
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Třinec 0–1 Kladno
82′⚽ GOAL · 84' Třinec 0–1 Kladno
84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Třinec · On: M. Vlachovsky · Off: T. Omasta
88′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Třinec
90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Třinec · On: A. Nguyen · Off: N. Zinhasovic
90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Kladno · On: D. Kasparek · Off: T. Pospisil
90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Kladno · On: V. Citek · Off: D. Gembicky
94′🟨 YELLOW · 94' Kladno
FTFULL TIME Třinec 0–1 Kladno
FTTřinec 0–1 Kladno · Třinec win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Třinec win39%

Draw25%

Kladno win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Stadion Rudolfa Labaje

Referee · M. Pansky

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Třinec

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Murin

2 D. Simersky

4 M. Helebrand

9 J. Bolf

10 M. Samiec

12 N. Zinhasovic

14 M. Abdoulkarim

21 O. Machuca

24 T. Omasta

26 L. Cienciala

33 E. Sehic

Coach · Tomas Jakus

Substitutes

7 · A. Nguyen

11 · L. Zdrazil

13 · V. Brak

15 · M. Vlachovsky

16 · C. Agbo

17 · M. Obuch

18 · L. Demitra

20 · M. Cerny

23 · O. Mrozek

27 · L. Dadak

Kladno

Formation not confirmed

1 F. Nalezinek

4 J. Chalupa

5 P. Hrdlicka

9 D. Jurcenko

10 T. Pospisil

12 Marco Tulio

17 D. Gembicky

22 D. Samek

25 M. Toml

26 T. Smejkal

27 J. Kozojed

Coach · Zdenek Hasek

Substitutes

6 · M. Jedlicka

7 · H. Hruska

8 · V. Citek

11 · O. Novotny

14 · V. Klimes

15 · K. Hrubes

18 · J. Lacko

19 · S. Sulaiman

20 · D. Kasparek

23 · E. Osmani

30 · A. Kotlin

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Třinec

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Murin

2 D. Simersky

4 M. Helebrand

9 J. Bolf

10 M. Samiec

12 N. Zinhasovic

14 M. Abdoulkarim

21 O. Machuca

24 T. Omasta

26 L. Cienciala

33 E. Sehic

Coach · Tomas Jakus

Substitutes

7 · A. Nguyen

11 · L. Zdrazil

13 · V. Brak

15 · M. Vlachovsky

16 · C. Agbo

17 · M. Obuch

18 · L. Demitra

20 · M. Cerny

23 · O. Mrozek

27 · L. Dadak

Kladno

Formation not confirmed

1 F. Nalezinek

4 J. Chalupa

5 P. Hrdlicka

9 D. Jurcenko

10 T. Pospisil

12 Marco Tulio

17 D. Gembicky

22 D. Samek

25 M. Toml

26 T. Smejkal

27 J. Kozojed

Coach · Zdenek Hasek

Substitutes

6 · M. Jedlicka

7 · H. Hruska

8 · V. Citek

11 · O. Novotny

14 · V. Klimes

15 · K. Hrubes

18 · J. Lacko

19 · S. Sulaiman

20 · D. Kasparek

23 · E. Osmani

30 · A. Kotlin

Our number · třinec winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

39% The market39%

Us39%

~~Market~~39%

We make Třinec a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · třinec win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 38% to 39% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Třinec win	39%	39%	0
Draw	25%	28%	−3
Kladno win	36%	34%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	54%	55%	0
Both teams to score	57%	59%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	77%	76%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	32%	34%	−2
Třinec or draw	64%	66%	−3
Třinec clean sheet	25%	–	–
Kladno clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 5.8 8.2 5.6 2.6 1 8.6 11.5 8.1 3.8 2 6.2 8.5 5.9 2.7 3 3.0 4.1 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Třinec down, Kladno across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,276 FNL matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

FNL matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.5% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Třinec at home: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Kladno away: 1.20 scored, 2.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for Třinec, 1.39 for Kladno. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in FNL

TŘINEC

DDLLWL0–0 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 0–3

KLADNO

DLWLDD1–1 · 1–3 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 3–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Karviná	10	+8	21
2	Ústí nad Labem	10	+6	18
3	Dukla Praha	9	+5	17
4	Vysočina Jihlava	10	+5	17
5	Vlašim	10	+5	15
6	Příbram	9	+1	14
7	Slavia Praha II	10	+2	13
8	Táborsko	10	0	13
9	Opava	10	−1	13
10	Baník Ostrava II	9	+3	11
11	Kladno	9	−1	10
12	Viktoria Žižkov	9	−8	10
13	Prostějov	10	−1	9
14	Arsenal Česká Lípa	9	−6	9
15	Třinec	9	−7	7
16	Hanácká	9	−11	6