

Táborsko v Třinec
Táborsko
TřinecFNL · FRI 23 OCT · Stadion Kvapilova
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Táborsko win at 56%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Táborsko 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–23–21
- 1′KICK-OFF Táborsko v Třinec
- 19′We said Táborsko at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–15–6
- 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Táborsko 1–0 Třinec
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Táborsko win: 56% at kick-off, 79% now
- 20′Táborsko find the net on 19′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–15–6
- 27′We said Táborsko at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–15–6
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 80–15–5
- 44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Třinec
- 45′SECOND HALF Táborsko 1–0 Třinec
- 46′HALF-TIME Táborsko 1–0 Třinec
- 47′We said Táborsko at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 1–1 · 42–39–19
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Táborsko 1–1 Třinec
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Táborsko win: 56% at kick-off, 42% now
- 49′A goal for Třinec on 48′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 41–40–19
- 53′We said Táborsko at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–43–18
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Táborsko win 41%)
- 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Třinec
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Táborsko win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Táborsko · On: J. Splichal · Off: L. Hruska
- 61′We said Táborsko at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–16
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Táborsko
- 68′We said Táborsko at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–14
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Třinec · On: M. Vlachovsky · Off: M. Cerny
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Táborsko · On: A. Yuzvak · Off: P. Heppner
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Táborsko win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Táborsko · On: J. Barac · Off: M. Rezac
- 74′We said Táborsko at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–65–12
- 78′We said Táborsko at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–72–10
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Táborsko win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
- 82′We said Táborsko at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–80–7
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Třinec · On: M. Obuch · Off: M. Samiec
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Táborsko · On: M. Miska · Off: A. Toula
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Táborsko · On: J. Zeronik · Off: J. Rezek
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Táborsko
- 86′We said Táborsko at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
- 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Táborsko
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Třinec
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Táborsko win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
- 92′We said Táborsko at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Třinec · On: L. Zdrazil · Off: O. Machuca
- FTFULL TIME Táborsko 1–1 Třinec
- FTTáborsko 1–1 Třinec · Táborsko win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Táborsko are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Táborsko 56%, draw 23%, Třinec 21%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Táborsko win56%
Třinec win21%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueStadion Kvapilova
RefereeJ. Wulkan
Match timeline
All events
TáborskoMIN
TřinecEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Táborsko
Třinec
Last match: 18 Oct · FNL
Last match: 16 Oct · FNL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Táborsko a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Táborsko win | 56% | 57% | −1 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Třinec win | 21% | 19% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 55% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 54% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 77% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 34% | −5 |
| Táborsko or draw | 79% | 81% | −2 |
| Táborsko clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Třinec clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 29 Aug
TÁBORSKO
TŘINEC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 11 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 | Vysočina Jihlava | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 11 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Vlašim | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Příbram | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava II | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 | Táborsko | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Viktoria Žižkov | 11 | −7 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavia Praha II | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Kladno | 11 | −1 | 13 |
| 12 | Opava | 11 | −3 | 13 |
| 13 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 11 | −6 | 12 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 11 | −1 | 10 |
| 15 | Třinec | 11 | −7 | 10 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 11 | −14 | 6 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Karviná
Vysočina Jihlava
Dukla Praha
Ústí nad Labem
Vlašim
Příbram
Baník Ostrava II
Viktoria Žižkov
Slavia Praha II
Kladno
Opava
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Prostějov
Hanácká