

Prostějov v Ústí nad Labem
Prostějov
Ústí nad LabemFNL · FRI 16 OCT · Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Prostějov win at 38%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Prostějov 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Prostějov v Ústí nad Labem
- 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Ústí nad Labem
- 33′We said Prostějov at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 1–0 · 67–22–12
- 33′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 67–22–12
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Prostějov 1–0 Ústí nad Labem
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Prostějov win: 38% at kick-off, 67% now
- 34′Prostějov score on 33′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 67–22–12
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Prostějov win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Prostějov 1–0 Ústí nad Labem
- 45′SECOND HALF Prostějov 1–0 Ústí nad Labem
- 47′We said Prostějov at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–22–9
- 48′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Ústí nad Labem
- 56′We said Prostějov at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–5–1
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Prostějov 2–0 Ústí nad Labem
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Prostějov win: 38% at kick-off, 93% now
- 57′Prostějov find the net on 57′. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 58′Prostějov ahead on 56′ through J. Koudelka. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Ústí nad Labem · On: D. Cerny · Off: Y. Diarra
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Ústí nad Labem · On: F. Idumbo-Muzambo · Off: P. Goj
- 61′We said Prostějov at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 61′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 74–20–5
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Prostějov 2–1 Ústí nad Labem
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Prostějov win: 38% at kick-off, 74% now
- 62′We said Prostějov at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
- 64′A goal for Ústí nad Labem on 62′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 76–20–5
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Prostějov win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
- 71′We said Prostějov at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 2–2 · 20–60–20
- 71′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 20–60–20
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Prostějov 2–2 Ústí nad Labem
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Prostějov win: 38% at kick-off, 20% now
- 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Prostějov win 20%)
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Prostějov · On: D. Alijagic · Off: M. Cernak
- 72′Ústí nad Labem score on 72′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 20–61–19
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Prostějov · On: M. Halda · Off: J. Matousek
- 73′Ústí nad Labem score on 71′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 19–63–19
- 74′We said Prostějov at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–64–18
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Prostějov win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Ústí nad Labem · On: D. Richter · Off: S. Osaghae
- 79′We said Prostějov at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–73–14
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Prostějov
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Ústí nad Labem · On: T. Berelidze · Off: P. Moulis
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Ústí nad Labem · On: L. Kodad · Off: J. Bzura
- 84′We said Prostějov at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–83–8
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Prostějov · On: A. Binar · Off: J. Koudelka
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Prostějov win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
- 90′We said Prostějov at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–91–4
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Prostějov · On: D. Fiser · Off: S. Jalovicor
- 93′2–2 at the end. Our 38% on Prostějov misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Prostějov 2–2 Ústí nad Labem
- FTProstějov 2–2 Ústí nad Labem · Prostějov win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Prostějov just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Prostějov 38%, draw 25%, Ústí nad Labem 37%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Prostějov win38%
Ústí nad Labem win37%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueStadion Za Mistnim nadrazim
RefereeD. Lovetinsky
Match timeline
All events
ProstějovMIN
Ústí nad LabemEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Prostějov
Ústí nad Labem
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Prostějov
Ústí nad Labem
Last match: 9 Oct · FNL
Last match: 9 Oct · FNL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Prostějov
Formation not confirmed
3 L. Endl
6 S. Jalovicor
7 M. Polasek
9 J. Matousek
13 M. Sindelar
16 P. Volesky
21 J. Kadlec
23 M. Surzyn
27 P. Mikulec
32 M. Cernak
70 J. Koudelka
Coach · Bohuslav Pilny
Substitutes
1 · D. Kerl
5 · M. Kolarik
8 · D. Bauer
12 · M. Halda
15 · D. Kramar
17 · A. Binar
18 · M. Jaron
19 · D. Fiser
22 · M. Zapletal
29 · D. Alijagic
Ústí nad Labem
Formation not confirmed
3 D. Brezina
6 S. Osaghae
9 F. Do Marcolino
14 P. Moulis
15 O. Ullman
18 Y. Diarra
19 P. Goj
21 J. Bzura
28 J. Simons
77 A. Fantis
91 T. Holy
Coach · David Oulehla
Substitutes
1 · D. Nemec
7 · D. Richter
10 · D. Cerny
16 · L. Kodad
17 · T. Berelidze
23 · F. Idumbo-Muzambo
27 · N. Piralic
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Prostějov
Formation not confirmed
3 L. Endl
6 S. Jalovicor
7 M. Polasek
9 J. Matousek
13 M. Sindelar
16 P. Volesky
21 J. Kadlec
23 M. Surzyn
27 P. Mikulec
32 M. Cernak
70 J. Koudelka
Coach · Bohuslav Pilny
Substitutes
1 · D. Kerl
5 · M. Kolarik
8 · D. Bauer
12 · M. Halda
15 · D. Kramar
17 · A. Binar
18 · M. Jaron
19 · D. Fiser
22 · M. Zapletal
29 · D. Alijagic
Ústí nad Labem
Formation not confirmed
3 D. Brezina
6 S. Osaghae
9 F. Do Marcolino
14 P. Moulis
15 O. Ullman
18 Y. Diarra
19 P. Goj
21 J. Bzura
28 J. Simons
77 A. Fantis
91 T. Holy
Coach · David Oulehla
Substitutes
1 · D. Nemec
7 · D. Richter
10 · D. Cerny
16 · L. Kodad
17 · T. Berelidze
23 · F. Idumbo-Muzambo
27 · N. Piralic
We make Prostějov a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prostějov win | 38% | 30% | +8 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Ústí nad Labem win | 37% | 44% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 60% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 78% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 35% | −3 |
| Prostějov or draw | 63% | 56% | +7 |
| Prostějov clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Ústí nad Labem clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 21 Aug
PROSTĚJOV
ÚSTÍ NAD LABEM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Dukla Praha | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Ústí nad Labem | 10 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | Vysočina Jihlava | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Příbram | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Vlašim | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | Slavia Praha II | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Kladno | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Táborsko | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Opava | 10 | −1 | 13 |
| 11 | Viktoria Žižkov | 10 | −7 | 13 |
| 12 | Baník Ostrava II | 10 | +2 | 11 |
| 13 | Prostějov | 10 | −1 | 9 |
| 14 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 10 | −7 | 9 |
| 15 | Třinec | 10 | −8 | 7 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 10 | −13 | 6 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Karviná
Dukla Praha
Vysočina Jihlava
Příbram
Vlašim
Slavia Praha II
Kladno
Táborsko
Opava
Viktoria Žižkov
Baník Ostrava II
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Třinec
Hanácká