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Kladno v Arsenal Česká Lípa

Kladno
2–3Full time
Arsenal Česká Lípa

FNL · SUN 18 OCT · Stadion Frantiska Kloze

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 17:17
Kladno 2–3 Arsenal Česká Lípa KLADNO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kladno win51%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.868
The market’s Brier score0.892

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay20 notes · 36 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kladno win at 51%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kladno was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–26
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Kladno v Arsenal Česká Lípa
  4. 3′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–24–50
  5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Kladno 0–1 Arsenal Česká Lípa
  6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 27% now
  7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Arsenal Česká Lípa win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Kladno win 27%)
  8. 5′Arsenal Česká Lípa find the net on 4′. 0–1. 0–1 · 26–24–50
  9. 12′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–24–51
  10. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
  11. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Kladno
  12. 27′SUBSTITUTION · 26' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: A. Zouhar · Off: V. Dudl
  13. 29′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
  14. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 19–26–55
  15. 34′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–12–82
  16. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Kladno 0–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
  17. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 5% now
  18. 35′A goal for Arsenal Česká Lípa on 35′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 5–12–83
  19. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 23' P. Hrdlicka · Kladno
  20. 40′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–84
  21. 45′SECOND HALF Kladno 0–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
  22. 46′An own goal by Kladno's J. Chalupa on 37′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–10–87
  23. 48′HALF-TIME Kladno 0–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
  24. 52′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 1–2 · 11–26–63
  25. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Kladno 1–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
  26. 53′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 11–25–64
  27. 53′Kladno score on 53′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 11–25–64
  28. 54′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 2–2 · 36–43–21
  29. 54′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 36–43–21
  30. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Kladno 2–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
  31. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 36% now
  32. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Arsenal Česká Lípa win 21%)
  33. 55′Kladno find the net on 55′. 2–2. 2–2 · 35–44–21
  34. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Arsenal Česká Lípa
  35. 57′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–45–20
  36. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: A. Ondracek · Off: L. Dufek
  37. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: M. Cervenka · Off: D. Michl
  38. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Arsenal Česká Lípa
  39. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
  40. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Kladno
  41. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Arsenal Česká Lípa
  42. 64′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 7–23–70
  43. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Kladno 2–3 Arsenal Česká Lípa
  44. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 7% now
  45. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Arsenal Česká Lípa win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 23%)
  46. 66′A goal for Arsenal Česká Lípa on 65′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 6–23–71
  47. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Kladno
  48. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Kladno · On: D. Kasparek · Off: D. Gembicky
  49. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Kladno · On: H. Hruska · Off: J. Chalupa
  50. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
  51. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kladno · On: O. Novotny · Off: D. Jurcenko
  52. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kladno · On: F. Ruzicka · Off: T. Smejkal
  53. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: M. Simon · Off: F. Kaza
  54. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: P. Schon · Off: F. Havelka
  55. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Arsenal Česká Lípa
  56. 95′Full time, 2–3. We called Kladno at 51% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–3 · 0–0–100
  57. FTFULL TIME Kladno 2–3 Arsenal Česká Lípa
  58. FTKladno 2–3 Arsenal Česká Lípa · Kladno win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kladno are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kladno 51%, draw 24%, Arsenal Česká Lípa 26%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Kladno v Arsenal Česká LípaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kladno win51%
Draw24%
Arsenal Česká Lípa win26%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenueStadion Frantiska Kloze

RefereeP. Orel

Line-ups

Kladno

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kladno

Arsenal Česká Lípa

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · FNL

Last match: 10 Oct · FNL

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11Kladno10013
15Arsenal Česká Lípa10−79

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Kladno

Formation not confirmed

1 F. Nalezinek

4 J. Chalupa

5 P. Hrdlicka

9 D. Jurcenko

10 T. Pospisil

12 Marco Tulio

15 K. Hrubes

17 D. Gembicky

22 D. Samek

25 M. Toml

26 T. Smejkal

Coach · Zdenek Hasek

Substitutes

6 · M. Jedlicka

7 · H. Hruska

8 · V. Citek

11 · O. Novotny

13 · F. Ruzicka

14 · V. Klimes

19 · S. Sulaiman

20 · D. Kasparek

23 · E. Osmani

27 · J. Kozojed

30 · A. Kotlin

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Novak

6 R. Suta

7 P. Haitl

8 V. Dudl

9 D. Michl

11 L. Dufek

18 O. Zezulka

21 F. Kaza

24 J. Vostrel

33 F. Matys

45 F. Havelka

Coach · Petr Mathauser

Substitutes

4 · M. Vlk

10 · M. Cervenka

14 · A. Ondracek

17 · P. Slanina

19 · M. Simon

23 · O. Vencl

28 · A. Kadlec

37 · P. Schon

44 · A. Zouhar

99 · O. Vliegen

Our number · kladno winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
51% The market51%
Us51%
Market51%

We make Kladno a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.7–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kladno v Arsenal Česká Lípa1.69 – 1.12
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 21 AugW2 D2 L2 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 13 v 911 v 15
The market · Kladno win51% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 12 OCT 04:0118 OCT 13:44
Our probability · Kladno win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kladno win51%51%0
Draw24%25%−1
Arsenal Česká Lípa win26%24%+2
Over 2.5 goals53%59%−6
Both teams to score54%61%−7
Over 1.5 goals77%80%−3
Over 3.5 goals31%38%−7
Kladno or draw74%76%−2
Kladno clean sheet33%––
Arsenal Česká Lípa clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%
0123450 6.0 7.0 3.8 1 10.4 11.1 6.3 2.4 2 8.6 9.5 5.3 2.0 3 4.8 5.4 3.0 4 2.1 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kladno down, Arsenal Česká Lípa across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.12
Over 2.53 of 8
Both scored4 of 8
Last meetingsARS 2–3 KLA · KLA 0–2 ARS · KLA 2–0 ARS · ARS 0–1 KLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in FNL this season · since 21 Aug

KLADNO

LWLDDW1–3 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 3–3 · 2–2 · 1–0

ARSENAL ČESKÁ LÍPA

WWLDLL1–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Karviná11+1124
2Vysočina Jihlava11+720
3Dukla Praha11+320
4Ústí nad Labem11+619
5Vlašim11+618
6Příbram11+217
7Baník Ostrava II11+314
8Táborsko11014
9Viktoria Žižkov11−714
10Slavia Praha II11+113
11Kladno10013
12Opava11−313
13Prostějov11−110
14Třinec11−710
15Arsenal Česká Lípa10−79
16Hanácká11−146

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.