

Kladno v Arsenal Česká Lípa
Kladno
Arsenal Česká LípaFNL · SUN 18 OCT · Stadion Frantiska Kloze
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kladno win at 51%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Kladno was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–26
- 1′KICK-OFF Kladno v Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 3′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–24–50
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Kladno 0–1 Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 27% now
- 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Arsenal Česká Lípa win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Kladno win 27%)
- 5′Arsenal Česká Lípa find the net on 4′. 0–1. 0–1 · 26–24–50
- 12′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–24–51
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
- 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Kladno
- 27′SUBSTITUTION · 26' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: A. Zouhar · Off: V. Dudl
- 29′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 19–26–55
- 34′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–12–82
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Kladno 0–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 5% now
- 35′A goal for Arsenal Česká Lípa on 35′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 5–12–83
- 38′🟨 YELLOW · 23' P. Hrdlicka · Kladno
- 40′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–84
- 45′SECOND HALF Kladno 0–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 46′An own goal by Kladno's J. Chalupa on 37′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–10–87
- 48′HALF-TIME Kladno 0–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 52′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 1–2 · 11–26–63
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Kladno 1–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 53′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 11–25–64
- 53′Kladno score on 53′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 11–25–64
- 54′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 2–2 · 36–43–21
- 54′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 36–43–21
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Kladno 2–2 Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 36% now
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Arsenal Česká Lípa win 21%)
- 55′Kladno find the net on 55′. 2–2. 2–2 · 35–44–21
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 57′We said Kladno at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–45–20
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: A. Ondracek · Off: L. Dufek
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: M. Cervenka · Off: D. Michl
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Kladno
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 64′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 7–23–70
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Kladno 2–3 Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 7% now
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Arsenal Česká Lípa win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 23%)
- 66′A goal for Arsenal Česká Lípa on 65′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 6–23–71
- 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Kladno
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Kladno · On: D. Kasparek · Off: D. Gembicky
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Kladno · On: H. Hruska · Off: J. Chalupa
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Kladno win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kladno · On: O. Novotny · Off: D. Jurcenko
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kladno · On: F. Ruzicka · Off: T. Smejkal
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: M. Simon · Off: F. Kaza
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: P. Schon · Off: F. Havelka
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Arsenal Česká Lípa
- 95′Full time, 2–3. We called Kladno at 51% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–3 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Kladno 2–3 Arsenal Česká Lípa
- FTKladno 2–3 Arsenal Česká Lípa · Kladno win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Kladno are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Kladno 51%, draw 24%, Arsenal Česká Lípa 26%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Kladno win51%
Arsenal Česká Lípa win26%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30
RoundMatchday 11
VenueStadion Frantiska Kloze
RefereeP. Orel
Match timeline
All events
KladnoMIN
Arsenal Česká LípaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Last match: 10 Oct · FNL
Last match: 10 Oct · FNL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Kladno
Formation not confirmed
1 F. Nalezinek
4 J. Chalupa
5 P. Hrdlicka
9 D. Jurcenko
10 T. Pospisil
12 Marco Tulio
15 K. Hrubes
17 D. Gembicky
22 D. Samek
25 M. Toml
26 T. Smejkal
Coach · Zdenek Hasek
Substitutes
6 · M. Jedlicka
7 · H. Hruska
8 · V. Citek
11 · O. Novotny
13 · F. Ruzicka
14 · V. Klimes
19 · S. Sulaiman
20 · D. Kasparek
23 · E. Osmani
27 · J. Kozojed
30 · A. Kotlin
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Formation not confirmed
1 R. Novak
6 R. Suta
7 P. Haitl
8 V. Dudl
9 D. Michl
11 L. Dufek
18 O. Zezulka
21 F. Kaza
24 J. Vostrel
33 F. Matys
45 F. Havelka
Coach · Petr Mathauser
Substitutes
4 · M. Vlk
10 · M. Cervenka
14 · A. Ondracek
17 · P. Slanina
19 · M. Simon
23 · O. Vencl
28 · A. Kadlec
37 · P. Schon
44 · A. Zouhar
99 · O. Vliegen
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Kladno
Formation not confirmed
1 F. Nalezinek
4 J. Chalupa
5 P. Hrdlicka
9 D. Jurcenko
10 T. Pospisil
12 Marco Tulio
15 K. Hrubes
17 D. Gembicky
22 D. Samek
25 M. Toml
26 T. Smejkal
Coach · Zdenek Hasek
Substitutes
6 · M. Jedlicka
7 · H. Hruska
8 · V. Citek
11 · O. Novotny
13 · F. Ruzicka
14 · V. Klimes
19 · S. Sulaiman
20 · D. Kasparek
23 · E. Osmani
27 · J. Kozojed
30 · A. Kotlin
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Formation not confirmed
1 R. Novak
6 R. Suta
7 P. Haitl
8 V. Dudl
9 D. Michl
11 L. Dufek
18 O. Zezulka
21 F. Kaza
24 J. Vostrel
33 F. Matys
45 F. Havelka
Coach · Petr Mathauser
Substitutes
4 · M. Vlk
10 · M. Cervenka
14 · A. Ondracek
17 · P. Slanina
19 · M. Simon
23 · O. Vencl
28 · A. Kadlec
37 · P. Schon
44 · A. Zouhar
99 · O. Vliegen
We make Kladno a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.7–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kladno win | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Arsenal Česká Lípa win | 26% | 24% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 59% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 61% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 80% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 38% | −7 |
| Kladno or draw | 74% | 76% | −2 |
| Kladno clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Arsenal Česká Lípa clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 21 Aug
KLADNO
ARSENAL ČESKÁ LÍPA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 11 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 | Vysočina Jihlava | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 11 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Vlašim | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Příbram | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava II | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 | Táborsko | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Viktoria Žižkov | 11 | −7 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavia Praha II | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Kladno | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Opava | 11 | −3 | 13 |
| 13 | Prostějov | 11 | −1 | 10 |
| 14 | Třinec | 11 | −7 | 10 |
| 15 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 10 | −7 | 9 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 11 | −14 | 6 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Karviná
Vysočina Jihlava
Dukla Praha
Ústí nad Labem
Vlašim
Příbram
Baník Ostrava II
Táborsko
Viktoria Žižkov
Slavia Praha II
Opava
Prostějov
Třinec
Hanácká