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Karviná v Slavia Praha II

Karviná

17:00Upcoming

Slavia Praha II

FNL · FRI 30 OCT · Town Stadium Karvina

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KarvináDrawSlavia Praha II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Karviná 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Karviná are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Karviná 61%, draw 20%, Slavia Praha II 19%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Karviná v Slavia Praha IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Karviná win61%

Draw20%

Slavia Praha II win19%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueTown Stadium Karvina

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Karviná

Slavia Praha II

7Days since last match14

Last match: 23 Oct · FNL

Last match: 16 Oct · FNL

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Karviná	12	+13	27
12	Slavia Praha II	11	+1	13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karviná winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Karviná a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Karviná v Slavia Praha II~~2.18 – 1.15

~~Form · last six in FNL this season · since 30 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 27 v 13~~1 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Karviná win	61%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Slavia Praha II win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Karviná or draw	81%	–	–
Karviná clean sheet	32%	–	–
Slavia Praha II clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.7%

0123450 3.6 4.2 2.4 1 7.9 8.9 5.1 2 8.5 9.7 5.5 2.1 3 6.2 7.0 4.0 4 3.4 3.9 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Karviná down, Slavia Praha II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,293 FNL matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: FNL matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.3% of games this season, across 93 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Karviná at home: 2.17 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Slavia Praha II away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.18 goals for Karviná, 1.15 for Slavia Praha II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KAR 3–0 SLA · SLA 4–2 KAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in FNL this season · since 30 Aug

KARVINÁ

WLWWWW2–0 · 2–3 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 3–1

SLAVIA PRAHA II

DDLLLL3–3 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Karviná	12	+13	27
2	Vysočina Jihlava	12	+9	23
3	Dukla Praha	12	+3	21
4	Ústí nad Labem	12	+4	19
5	Vlašim	12	+4	18
6	Příbram	12	+2	18
7	Baník Ostrava II	12	+3	15
8	Táborsko	12	0	15
9	Kladno	12	−1	14
10	Opava	12	−3	14
11	Viktoria Žižkov	12	−8	14
12	Slavia Praha II	11	+1	13
13	Arsenal Česká Lípa	12	−6	13
14	Třinec	12	−7	11
15	Prostějov	11	−1	10
16	Hanácká	12	−13	9