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Hanácká v Viktoria Žižkov

Hanácká
2–1Full time
Viktoria Žižkov

FNL · SAT 24 OCT · Stadium Kromeriz

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Hanácká 2–1 Viktoria Žižkov HANÁCKÁ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hanácká win43%
The market said36%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.493
The market’s Brier score0.627

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hanácká win at 43%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Hanácká v Viktoria Žižkov
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Hanácká was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–25–33
  4. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Viktoria Žižkov
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Hanácká 0–0 Viktoria Žižkov
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Hanácká 0–0 Viktoria Žižkov
  7. 47′Viktoria Žižkov find the net on 47′. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–23–66
  8. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Hanácká 0–1 Viktoria Žižkov
  9. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Hanácká win: 43% at kick-off, 11% now
  10. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Viktoria Žižkov win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Hanácká win 36%)
  11. 48′We said Hanácká at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 0–1 · 10–23–66
  12. 51′We said Hanácká at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–67
  13. 55′A goal for Hanácká on 54′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–43–25
  14. 55′We said Hanácká at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–43–25
  15. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Hanácká 1–1 Viktoria Žižkov
  16. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Hanácká win: 43% at kick-off, 31% now
  17. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Viktoria Žižkov win 68%)
  18. 56′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 31–44–25
  19. 59′We said Hanácká at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–46–24
  20. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Viktoria Žižkov · On: V. Prosek · Off: M. Baafi
  21. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Hanácká · On: L. Kubr · Off: Z. Toman
  22. 68′We said Hanácká at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–55–20
  23. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Hanácká win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  24. 75′We said Hanácká at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
  25. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Viktoria Žižkov · On: F. Papousek · Off: R. Hruby
  26. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Viktoria Žižkov · On: D. Kaulfus · Off: M. Honig
  27. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Hanácká · On: J. Dockal · Off: D. Hais
  28. 80′Hanácká score on 80′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
  29. 80′We published Hanácká at 43%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
  30. 80′79′: T. Korycan on the scoresheet for Hanácká, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
  31. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Hanácká 2–1 Viktoria Žižkov
  32. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Hanácká win: 43% at kick-off, 88% now
  33. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Hanácká win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 72%)
  34. 81′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 89–10–1
  35. 82′We published Hanácká at 43%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  36. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Hanácká win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
  37. 88′We published Hanácká at 43%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  38. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Viktoria Žižkov · On: O. Kujabi · Off: A. Batioja
  39. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Hanácká · On: L. Holik · Off: M. Kudela
  40. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Hanácká · On: P. Zavadil · Off: D. Kriz
  41. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Hanácká
  42. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 70' J. Tichai · Hanácká
  43. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Hanácká
  44. FTFULL TIME Hanácká 2–1 Viktoria Žižkov
  45. FTHanácká 2–1 Viktoria Žižkov · Hanácká win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hanácká are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hanácká 43%, draw 24%, Viktoria Žižkov 33%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Hanácká v Viktoria ŽižkovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Hanácká win43%
Draw24%
Viktoria Žižkov win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 12

VenueStadium Kromeriz

RefereeO. Berka

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hanácká

Viktoria Žižkov

8Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · FNL

Last match: 18 Oct · FNL

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11Viktoria Žižkov11−714
16Hanácká11−146

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hanácká winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
43% The market36%
Us43%
Market36%

We make Hanácká a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hanácká v Viktoria Žižkov1.57 – 1.34
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 29 AugW1 D2 L3 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 6 v 1416 v 11
The market · Hanácká win36% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 15:06
Our probability · Hanácká win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hanácká win43%36%+7
Draw24%26%−2
Viktoria Žižkov win33%38%−5
Over 2.5 goals56%58%−2
Both teams to score58%61%−3
Over 1.5 goals79%79%0
Over 3.5 goals33%37%−4
Hanácká or draw67%62%+5
Hanácká clean sheet26%––
Viktoria Žižkov clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%
0123450 5.4 7.4 4.9 2.2 1 8.6 11.3 7.6 3.4 2 6.7 8.9 6.0 2.7 3 3.5 4.7 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hanácká down, Viktoria Žižkov across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsVIK 1–2 HAN · HAN 1–2 VIK · VIK 3–2 HAN · HAN 1–0 VIK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in FNL this season · since 29 Aug

HANÁCKÁ

WDDLLL2–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 1–3 · 0–1

VIKTORIA ŽIŽKOV

LDWWWD0–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Karviná12+1327
2Vysočina Jihlava12+923
3Dukla Praha12+321
4Ústí nad Labem12+419
5Vlašim12+418
6Příbram11+217
7Baník Ostrava II12+315
8Táborsko12015
9Kladno12−114
10Opava12−314
11Viktoria Žižkov11−714
12Slavia Praha II11+113
13Arsenal Česká Lípa11−612
14Třinec12−711
15Prostějov11−110
16Hanácká11−146

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.