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Hanácká v Příbram

Hanácká

1–3Full time

Příbram

FNL · SAT 10 OCT · Stadium Kromeriz

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 19:03

Hanácká 1–3 Příbram HANÁCKÁ WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hanácká win~~37%

~~The market said~~33%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.614

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.571

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hanácká win at 37%.
2′Much as we predicted: Hanácká was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–28–36
9′Much as we predicted: Hanácká was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 36–29–35
30′26′ and it is 0–1: L. Fila on the scoresheet for Příbram. 0–1 · 11–22–67
37′26′ and it is 0–1: L. Fila on the scoresheet for Příbram. 0–1 · 10–22–68
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Příbram win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Hanácká win 10%)
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Hanácká win: 37% at kick-off, 10% now
46′SECOND HALF Hanácká 1–2 Příbram
59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Hanácká
61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Hanácká
62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Příbram · On: S. Kop · Off: J. Tosnar
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Hanácká 1–3 Příbram
66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Hanácká · On: J. Dockal · Off: L. Holik
66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Hanácká · On: D. Polak · Off: L. Kubr
67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Z. Riha · Hanácká
67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Hanácká
67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Hanácká
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Příbram · On: D. Vott · Off: N. Penner
81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Příbram · On: D. Rousar · Off: L. Fila
FTFULL TIME Hanácká 1–3 Příbram
FTHanácká 1–3 Příbram · Hanácká win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Hanácká win37%

Draw27%

Příbram win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:30

Venue · Stadium Kromeriz

Referee · T. Ehrenberger

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Hanácká

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Dostal

5 E. Otrisal

6 M. Kudela

9 Z. Toman

13 D. Hais

19 L. Holik

20 T. Korycan

33 M. Hlinka

44 Z. Riha

77 L. Kubr

80 D. Kriz

Coach · Jindrich Tichai

Substitutes

3 · P. Zavadil

7 · F. Zak

8 · D. Polak

17 · J. Dockal

21 · R. Ovesny

23 · D. Moucka

37 · P. Kulisek

43 · T. Vajner

92 · T. Celustka

99 · D. Polasek

Příbram

Formation not confirmed

3 M. Pisko

8 T. Svoboda

11 J. Tosnar

16 P. Svestka

19 N. Penner

21 M. Melichar

23 T. Jedlicka

27 J. Urbanec

45 P. Nghabo

68 J. Malek

77 L. Fila

Coach · Jiri Kohout

Substitutes

6 · S. Kop

7 · D. Vott

10 · A. Conte

18 · R. Faye

20 · D. Rousar

22 · M. Gergela

29 · A. Pesek

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Hanácká

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Dostal

5 E. Otrisal

6 M. Kudela

9 Z. Toman

13 D. Hais

19 L. Holik

20 T. Korycan

33 M. Hlinka

44 Z. Riha

77 L. Kubr

80 D. Kriz

Coach · Jindrich Tichai

Substitutes

3 · P. Zavadil

7 · F. Zak

8 · D. Polak

17 · J. Dockal

21 · R. Ovesny

23 · D. Moucka

37 · P. Kulisek

43 · T. Vajner

92 · T. Celustka

99 · D. Polasek

Příbram

Formation not confirmed

3 M. Pisko

8 T. Svoboda

11 J. Tosnar

16 P. Svestka

19 N. Penner

21 M. Melichar

23 T. Jedlicka

27 J. Urbanec

45 P. Nghabo

68 J. Malek

77 L. Fila

Coach · Jiri Kohout

Substitutes

6 · S. Kop

7 · D. Vott

10 · A. Conte

18 · R. Faye

20 · D. Rousar

22 · M. Gergela

29 · A. Pesek

Our number · hanácká winPublished 10 Oct 16:37

37% The market33%

Us37%

~~Market~~33%

We make Hanácká a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · hanácká win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 34% to 33% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hanácká win	37%	33%	+3
Draw	27%	28%	−1
Příbram win	36%	38%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	45%	50%	−5
Both teams to score	50%	55%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	70%	73%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	24%	29%	−5
Hanácká or draw	64%	62%	+2
Hanácká clean sheet	29%	–	–
Příbram clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 8.4 10.5 6.4 2.6 1 10.6 12.7 7.9 3.2 2 6.5 7.9 4.9 2.0 3 2.7 3.3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hanácká down, Příbram across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,276 FNL matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

FNL matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.5% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.75 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hanácká at home: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Příbram away: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for Hanácká, 1.23 for Příbram. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~PRI 0–2 HAN · HAN 1–2 PRI · HAN 0–2 PRI · PRI 1–3 HAN

Form · last six in FNL

HANÁCKÁ

LLWDDL0–4 · 1–4 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 2–3

PŘÍBRAM

DDWDLD2–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Karviná	10	+8	21
2	Ústí nad Labem	10	+6	18
3	Dukla Praha	9	+5	17
4	Vysočina Jihlava	10	+5	17
5	Vlašim	10	+5	15
6	Příbram	9	+1	14
7	Slavia Praha II	10	+2	13
8	Táborsko	10	0	13
9	Opava	10	−1	13
10	Baník Ostrava II	9	+3	11
11	Kladno	9	−1	10
12	Viktoria Žižkov	9	−8	10
13	Prostějov	10	−1	9
14	Arsenal Česká Lípa	9	−6	9
15	Třinec	9	−7	7
16	Hanácká	9	−11	6