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Dukla Praha v Kladno

Dukla Praha
1–1Full time
Kladno

FNL · FRI 23 OCT · Stadion Juliska

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 19:31
Dukla Praha 1–1 Kladno DUKLA PRAHA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Dukla Praha win53%
The market said58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.955
The market’s Brier score0.970

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dukla Praha win at 53%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Dukla Praha 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–22–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Dukla Praha v Kladno
  4. 23′Kladno find the net on 23′. 0–1. 0–1 · 24–25–51
  5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Dukla Praha 0–1 Kladno
  6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Dukla Praha win: 53% at kick-off, 24% now
  7. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Kladno win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Dukla Praha win 49%)
  8. 25′We said Dukla Praha at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–25–52
  9. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Dukla Praha win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 22–25–53
  11. 36′We said Dukla Praha at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Dukla Praha 0–1 Kladno
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Dukla Praha 0–1 Kladno
  14. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dukla Praha · On: S. Sebrle · Off: S. Hindi
  15. 49′We said Dukla Praha at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–59
  16. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Dukla Praha win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
  17. 55′O. Tessilimi scores for Dukla Praha on 54′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 38–41–21
  18. 55′We said Dukla Praha at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–41–21
  19. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Dukla Praha 1–1 Kladno · O. Tessilimi
  20. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Dukla Praha win: 53% at kick-off, 38% now
  21. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Kladno win 62%)
  22. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Dukla Praha · On: P. Corr · Off: M. Hanousek
  23. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Dukla Praha · On: J. Okebugwu · Off: B. Diallo
  24. 61′We said Dukla Praha at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–46–20
  25. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Dukla Praha win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
  26. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Dukla Praha
  27. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Dukla Praha
  28. 68′We said Dukla Praha at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–17
  29. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Dukla Praha win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
  30. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Dukla Praha
  31. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Dukla Praha · On: D. Zamazal · Off: R. Mikus
  32. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kladno · On: H. Hruska · Off: J. Chalupa
  33. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kladno · On: J. Lacko · Off: T. Pospisil
  34. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kladno · On: S. Sulaiman · Off: T. Smejkal
  35. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Dukla Praha win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
  36. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Dukla Praha · On: N. Cisse · Off: D. Velasquez
  37. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Dukla Praha
  38. 86′We said Dukla Praha at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
  39. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Kladno · On: F. Ruzicka · Off: O. Novotny
  40. 92′We said Dukla Praha at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  41. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Dukla Praha win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
  42. FTFULL TIME Dukla Praha 1–1 Kladno
  43. FTDukla Praha 1–1 Kladno · Dukla Praha win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dukla Praha are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dukla Praha 53%, draw 22%, Kladno 25%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Dukla Praha v KladnoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Dukla Praha win53%
Draw22%
Kladno win25%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueStadion Juliska

RefereeT. Klima

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dukla Praha

Kladno

7Days since last match5

Last match: 16 Oct · FNL

Last match: 18 Oct · FNL

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Dukla Praha11+320
11Kladno11−113

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dukla praha winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off
53% The market58%
Us53%
Market58%

We make Dukla Praha a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dukla Praha v Kladno1.90 – 1.22
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 28 AugW4 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 20 v 133 v 11
The market · Dukla Praha win58% · ours 53%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 16:40
Our probability · Dukla Praha win The market, margin stripped

Published at 52%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dukla Praha win53%58%−5
Draw22%23%−1
Kladno win25%20%+5
Over 2.5 goals60%61%−1
Both teams to score59%59%0
Over 1.5 goals81%81%0
Over 3.5 goals38%40%−2
Dukla Praha or draw75%80%−5
Dukla Praha clean sheet30%––
Kladno clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%
0123450 4.4 5.6 3.3 1 8.6 10.0 6.2 2.5 2 8.0 9.6 5.8 2.4 3 5.1 6.1 3.7 4 2.4 2.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dukla Praha down, Kladno across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in FNL this season · since 28 Aug

DUKLA PRAHA

WWWDWL3–1 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 0–3

KLADNO

WLDDWL3–0 · 0–2 · 3–3 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Karviná11+1124
2Vysočina Jihlava11+720
3Dukla Praha11+320
4Ústí nad Labem11+619
5Vlašim11+618
6Příbram11+217
7Baník Ostrava II11+314
8Táborsko11014
9Viktoria Žižkov11−714
10Slavia Praha II11+113
11Kladno11−113
12Opava11−313
13Arsenal Česká Lípa11−612
14Prostějov11−110
15Třinec11−710
16Hanácká11−146

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.