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Baník Ostrava II v Slavia Praha II

Baník Ostrava II
2–1Full time
Slavia Praha II

FNL · FRI 16 OCT · Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 16:59
Baník Ostrava II 2–1 Slavia Praha II BANÍK OSTRAVA II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Baník Ostrava II win50%
The market said48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.380
The market’s Brier score0.403

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 26 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Baník Ostrava II win at 50%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Baník Ostrava II 50% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–23–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Baník Ostrava II v Slavia Praha II
  4. 11′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Slavia Praha II
  5. 33′Slavia Praha II find the net on 32′. 0–1. 0–1 · 18–25–57
  6. 33′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–57
  7. 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Baník Ostrava II 0–1 Slavia Praha II
  8. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 18% now
  9. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Slavia Praha II win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Baník Ostrava II win 18%)
  10. 34′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 18–25–57
  11. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Slavia Praha II
  12. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Baník Ostrava II
  13. 44′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–60
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Baník Ostrava II 0–1 Slavia Praha II
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Baník Ostrava II 0–1 Slavia Praha II
  16. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Slavia Praha II
  17. 55′55′: M. Temel on the scoresheet for Baník Ostrava II. 0–1 · 10–25–65
  18. 55′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–42–23
  19. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  20. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Baník Ostrava II 1–1 Slavia Praha II · M. Temel
  21. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 35% now
  22. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Slavia Praha II win 23%)
  23. 57′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
  24. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Slavia Praha II · On: T. Necid · Off: I. Okonkwo Corrected
  25. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Slavia Praha II · On: D. Barcot · Off: D. Mikulanda
  26. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
  27. 66′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–19
  28. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Baník Ostrava II · On: S. Drozd · Off: M. Bitta
  29. 72′71′: S. Drozd on the scoresheet for Baník Ostrava II, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
  30. 72′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 2–1 · 84–14–2
  31. 72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Baník Ostrava II 2–1 Slavia Praha II · S. Drozd
  32. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 84% now
  33. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Baník Ostrava II win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 14%)
  34. 74′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  35. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Slavia Praha II · On: D. Teah · Off: J. Kolisek
  36. 81′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  37. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 90% now
  38. 88′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  39. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Baník Ostrava II · On: M. Kulyk · Off: S. Vlna
  40. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Baník Ostrava II · On: M. Ouly · Off: P. Jaron
  41. FTFULL TIME Baník Ostrava II 2–1 Slavia Praha II
  42. FTBaník Ostrava II 2–1 Slavia Praha II · Baník Ostrava II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Baník Ostrava II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Baník Ostrava II 50%, draw 23%, Slavia Praha II 27%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Baník Ostrava II v Slavia Praha IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Baník Ostrava II win50%
Draw23%
Slavia Praha II win27%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueMestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich

RefereeT. Ehrenberger

Line-ups

Baník Ostrava II

Slavia Praha II

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Baník Ostrava II

Slavia Praha II

4Days since last match7

Last match: 12 Oct · FNL

Last match: 9 Oct · FNL

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Slavia Praha II10+213
12Baník Ostrava II10+211

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Baník Ostrava II

Formation not confirmed

60 M. Hruby

7 L. Dvoracek

8 T. Frydl

12 A. Fiala

17 M. Bitta

18 M. Temel

21 T. Sirotek

24 P. Jaron

25 D. Rehacek

38 S. Vlna

4 P. Mekota

Coach · Robert Pistek

Substitutes

3 · D. Krupicka

9 · P. A. Thioro Diop

19 · F. Svrcek

22 · E. Ogbu

26 · D. Latal

28 · F. Rajcan

30 · N. Horinek

37 · M. Ouly

40 · M. Kulyk

44 · S. Drozd

Slavia Praha II

Formation not confirmed

1 O. Petrenko

3 R. A. Compaore

6 M. Solarte

7 L. Savovic

11 D. Mikulanda

14 K. Belzik

17 M. Suchy

18 I. Okonkwo

19 A. Cedergren

24 J. Kolisek

28 M. Mervard

Coach · Tomas Heidenreich

Substitutes

4 · D. Barcot

9 · T. Necid

10 · B. Szywala

12 · P. Behensky

13 · P. Potmesil

20 · A. Rajnoha

21 · D. Teah

40 · O. Suchy

Our number · baník ostrava ii winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
50% The market48%
Us50%
Market48%

We make Baník Ostrava II a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Baník Ostrava II v Slavia Praha II1.77 – 1.26
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 23 AugW2 D1 L3 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 11 v 1312 v 7
The market · Baník Ostrava II win48% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 10 OCT 03:5516 OCT 13:24
Our probability · Baník Ostrava II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Baník Ostrava II win50%48%+2
Draw23%24%−1
Slavia Praha II win27%28%−1
Over 2.5 goals58%67%−9
Both teams to score59%67%−8
Over 1.5 goals80%85%−5
Over 3.5 goals36%48%−12
Baník Ostrava II or draw73%72%+1
Baník Ostrava II clean sheet29%––
Slavia Praha II clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%
0123450 4.8 6.3 3.8 1 8.8 10.6 6.7 2.8 2 7.6 9.5 5.9 2.5 3 4.5 5.6 3.5 4 2.0 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Baník Ostrava II down, Slavia Praha II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.25
Over 2.54 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsSLA 0–3 BAN · BAN 1–2 SLA · BAN 0–3 SLA · SLA 1–3 BAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in FNL this season · since 23 Aug

BANÍK OSTRAVA II

LWDWLL0–1 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 2–3

SLAVIA PRAHA II

WDDLLL4–1 · 3–3 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Karviná10+821
2Dukla Praha10+620
3Ústí nad Labem10+618
4Vysočina Jihlava10+517
5Příbram10+317
6Vlašim10+515
7Slavia Praha II10+213
8Kladno10013
9Táborsko10013
10Opava10−113
11Viktoria Žižkov10−713
12Baník Ostrava II10+211
13Prostějov10−19
14Arsenal Česká Lípa10−79
15Třinec10−87
16Hanácká10−136

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.