

Baník Ostrava II v Slavia Praha II
Baník Ostrava II
Slavia Praha IIFNL · FRI 16 OCT · Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Baník Ostrava II win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Baník Ostrava II 50% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–23–27
- 1′KICK-OFF Baník Ostrava II v Slavia Praha II
- 11′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Slavia Praha II
- 33′Slavia Praha II find the net on 32′. 0–1. 0–1 · 18–25–57
- 33′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–57
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Baník Ostrava II 0–1 Slavia Praha II
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 18% now
- 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Slavia Praha II win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Baník Ostrava II win 18%)
- 34′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 18–25–57
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Slavia Praha II
- 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Baník Ostrava II
- 44′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–60
- 45′HALF-TIME Baník Ostrava II 0–1 Slavia Praha II
- 46′SECOND HALF Baník Ostrava II 0–1 Slavia Praha II
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Slavia Praha II
- 55′55′: M. Temel on the scoresheet for Baník Ostrava II. 0–1 · 10–25–65
- 55′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–42–23
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Baník Ostrava II 1–1 Slavia Praha II · M. Temel
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 35% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Slavia Praha II win 23%)
- 57′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Slavia Praha II · On: T. Necid · Off: I. Okonkwo Corrected
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Slavia Praha II · On: D. Barcot · Off: D. Mikulanda
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
- 66′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–19
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Baník Ostrava II · On: S. Drozd · Off: M. Bitta
- 72′71′: S. Drozd on the scoresheet for Baník Ostrava II, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
- 72′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 2–1 · 84–14–2
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Baník Ostrava II 2–1 Slavia Praha II · S. Drozd
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 84% now
- 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Baník Ostrava II win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 14%)
- 74′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Slavia Praha II · On: D. Teah · Off: J. Kolisek
- 81′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Baník Ostrava II win: 50% at kick-off, 90% now
- 88′We said Baník Ostrava II at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Baník Ostrava II · On: M. Kulyk · Off: S. Vlna
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Baník Ostrava II · On: M. Ouly · Off: P. Jaron
- FTFULL TIME Baník Ostrava II 2–1 Slavia Praha II
- FTBaník Ostrava II 2–1 Slavia Praha II · Baník Ostrava II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassBaník Ostrava II are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Baník Ostrava II 50%, draw 23%, Slavia Praha II 27%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Baník Ostrava II win50%
Slavia Praha II win27%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueMestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich
RefereeT. Ehrenberger
Match timeline
All events
Baník Ostrava IIMIN
Slavia Praha IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Baník Ostrava II
Slavia Praha II
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Baník Ostrava II
Slavia Praha II
Last match: 12 Oct · FNL
Last match: 9 Oct · FNL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Baník Ostrava II
Formation not confirmed
60 M. Hruby
7 L. Dvoracek
8 T. Frydl
12 A. Fiala
17 M. Bitta
18 M. Temel
21 T. Sirotek
24 P. Jaron
25 D. Rehacek
38 S. Vlna
4 P. Mekota
Coach · Robert Pistek
Substitutes
3 · D. Krupicka
9 · P. A. Thioro Diop
19 · F. Svrcek
22 · E. Ogbu
26 · D. Latal
28 · F. Rajcan
30 · N. Horinek
37 · M. Ouly
40 · M. Kulyk
44 · S. Drozd
Slavia Praha II
Formation not confirmed
1 O. Petrenko
3 R. A. Compaore
6 M. Solarte
7 L. Savovic
11 D. Mikulanda
14 K. Belzik
17 M. Suchy
18 I. Okonkwo
19 A. Cedergren
24 J. Kolisek
28 M. Mervard
Coach · Tomas Heidenreich
Substitutes
4 · D. Barcot
9 · T. Necid
10 · B. Szywala
12 · P. Behensky
13 · P. Potmesil
20 · A. Rajnoha
21 · D. Teah
40 · O. Suchy
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Baník Ostrava II
Formation not confirmed
60 M. Hruby
7 L. Dvoracek
8 T. Frydl
12 A. Fiala
17 M. Bitta
18 M. Temel
21 T. Sirotek
24 P. Jaron
25 D. Rehacek
38 S. Vlna
4 P. Mekota
Coach · Robert Pistek
Substitutes
3 · D. Krupicka
9 · P. A. Thioro Diop
19 · F. Svrcek
22 · E. Ogbu
26 · D. Latal
28 · F. Rajcan
30 · N. Horinek
37 · M. Ouly
40 · M. Kulyk
44 · S. Drozd
Slavia Praha II
Formation not confirmed
1 O. Petrenko
3 R. A. Compaore
6 M. Solarte
7 L. Savovic
11 D. Mikulanda
14 K. Belzik
17 M. Suchy
18 I. Okonkwo
19 A. Cedergren
24 J. Kolisek
28 M. Mervard
Coach · Tomas Heidenreich
Substitutes
4 · D. Barcot
9 · T. Necid
10 · B. Szywala
12 · P. Behensky
13 · P. Potmesil
20 · A. Rajnoha
21 · D. Teah
40 · O. Suchy
We make Baník Ostrava II a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava II win | 50% | 48% | +2 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Slavia Praha II win | 27% | 28% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 67% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 67% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 85% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 48% | −12 |
| Baník Ostrava II or draw | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Baník Ostrava II clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Slavia Praha II clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 23 Aug
BANÍK OSTRAVA II
SLAVIA PRAHA II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Dukla Praha | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Ústí nad Labem | 10 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | Vysočina Jihlava | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Příbram | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Vlašim | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | Slavia Praha II | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Kladno | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Táborsko | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Opava | 10 | −1 | 13 |
| 11 | Viktoria Žižkov | 10 | −7 | 13 |
| 12 | Baník Ostrava II | 10 | +2 | 11 |
| 13 | Prostějov | 10 | −1 | 9 |
| 14 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 10 | −7 | 9 |
| 15 | Třinec | 10 | −8 | 7 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 10 | −13 | 6 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Karviná
Dukla Praha
Ústí nad Labem
Vysočina Jihlava
Příbram
Vlašim
Kladno
Táborsko
Opava
Viktoria Žižkov
Prostějov
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Třinec
Hanácká