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Arsenal Česká Lípa v Viktoria Žižkov

Arsenal Česká Lípa

1–2Full time

Viktoria Žižkov

FNL · SAT 10 OCT · Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–2 Viktoria Žižkov ARSENAL ČESKÁ LÍPA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Arsenal Česká Lípa win~~50%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.835

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.708

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Arsenal Česká Lípa win at 50%.
3′Much as we predicted: Arsenal Česká Lípa was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–24–27
3′KICK-OFF Arsenal Česká Lípa v Viktoria Žižkov
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–0 Viktoria Žižkov
9′⚽ GOAL · 10' Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–0 Viktoria Žižkov
20′🟨 YELLOW · 20' P. Mares · Viktoria Žižkov
24′Arsenal Česká Lípa ahead on 10′ through F. Kaza. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Arsenal Česká Lípa win: 50% at kick-off, 74% now
42′SUBSTITUTION · 42' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: P. Schon · Off: F. Blecha
45′We published Arsenal Česká Lípa at 50%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–0 · 76–18–6
45′SECOND HALF Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–0 Viktoria Žižkov
47′HALF-TIME Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–0 Viktoria Žižkov
50′🟨 YELLOW · 47' V. Dudl · Arsenal Česká Lípa
53′D. Huf scores for Viktoria Žižkov on 52′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–41–23
53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–1 Viktoria Žižkov · D. Huf
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Arsenal Česká Lípa win: 50% at kick-off, 36% now
53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Arsenal Česká Lípa win 36%)
62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' O. Zezulka · Arsenal Česká Lípa
65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Viktoria Žižkov · On: R. Hruby · Off: F. Papousek
65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: M. Simon · Off: F. Kaza
65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: N. Kljajic · Off: D. Michl
73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Viktoria Žižkov · On: M. Hubinek · Off: P. Mares
79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–2 Viktoria Žižkov · D. Huf
80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–2 Viktoria Žižkov
83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: A. Zouhar · Off: L. Dufek
90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Viktoria Žižkov · On: V. Prosek · Off: M. Zitny
95′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: M. Cervenka · Off: P. Haitl
95′SUBSTITUTION · 93' Viktoria Žižkov · On: M. Richter · Off: A. Batioja
FTFULL TIME Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–2 Viktoria Žižkov
FTArsenal Česká Lípa 1–2 Viktoria Žižkov · Arsenal Česká Lípa win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Arsenal Česká Lípa win50%

Draw23%

Viktoria Žižkov win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa

Referee · L. Habermann

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Novak

6 R. Suta

7 P. Haitl

8 V. Dudl

9 D. Michl

11 L. Dufek

18 O. Zezulka

20 F. Blecha

21 F. Kaza

24 J. Vostrel

45 F. Havelka

Coach · Petr Mathauser

Substitutes

4 · M. Vlk

10 · M. Cervenka

14 · A. Ondracek

17 · P. Slanina

19 · M. Simon

28 · A. Kadlec

33 · F. Matys

34 · N. Kljajic

37 · P. Schon

44 · A. Zouhar

99 · O. Vliegen

Viktoria Žižkov

Formation not confirmed

3 M. Zitny

7 R. Reiter

9 P. Mares

15 M. Honig

18 A. Batioja

26 F. Papousek

27 J. Sirotnik

28 D. Huf

29 F. Novotny

35 T. Polyak

98 D. Hasek

Coach · Radek Krondak

Substitutes

1 · M. Skodon

2 · M. Richter

6 · R. Hruby

10 · M. Baafi

12 · V. Prosek

13 · O. Kujabi

14 · J. Vlcek

17 · D. Kaulfus

20 · M. Hubinek

33 · D. Kosek

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Novak

6 R. Suta

7 P. Haitl

8 V. Dudl

9 D. Michl

11 L. Dufek

18 O. Zezulka

20 F. Blecha

21 F. Kaza

24 J. Vostrel

45 F. Havelka

Coach · Petr Mathauser

Substitutes

4 · M. Vlk

10 · M. Cervenka

14 · A. Ondracek

17 · P. Slanina

19 · M. Simon

28 · A. Kadlec

33 · F. Matys

34 · N. Kljajic

37 · P. Schon

44 · A. Zouhar

99 · O. Vliegen

Viktoria Žižkov

Formation not confirmed

3 M. Zitny

7 R. Reiter

9 P. Mares

15 M. Honig

18 A. Batioja

26 F. Papousek

27 J. Sirotnik

28 D. Huf

29 F. Novotny

35 T. Polyak

98 D. Hasek

Coach · Radek Krondak

Substitutes

1 · M. Skodon

2 · M. Richter

6 · R. Hruby

10 · M. Baafi

12 · V. Prosek

13 · O. Kujabi

14 · J. Vlcek

17 · D. Kaulfus

20 · M. Hubinek

33 · D. Kosek

Our number · arsenal česká lípa winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

50% The market42%

Us50%

~~Market~~42%

We make Arsenal Česká Lípa a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · arsenal česká lípa win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 40% to 41% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Arsenal Česká Lípa win	50%	42%	+8
Draw	23%	27%	−4
Viktoria Žižkov win	27%	32%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	58%	58%	0
Both teams to score	59%	62%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	80%	79%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	36%	38%	−2
Arsenal Česká Lípa or draw	73%	68%	+5
Arsenal Česká Lípa clean sheet	29%	–	–
Viktoria Žižkov clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 4.9 6.3 3.8 1 8.8 10.6 6.7 2.8 2 7.7 9.4 5.9 2.4 3 4.6 5.6 3.5 4 2.0 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Arsenal Česká Lípa down, Viktoria Žižkov across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,276 FNL matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

FNL matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.5% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Arsenal Česká Lípa at home: 1.25 scored, 1.75 conceded a game (last 4). Viktoria Žižkov away: 0.50 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Arsenal Česká Lípa, 1.24 for Viktoria Žižkov. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in FNL

ARSENAL ČESKÁ LÍPA

LWWLDL2–5 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–2

VIKTORIA ŽIŽKOV

LLLDWW1–4 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Karviná	10	+8	21
2	Ústí nad Labem	10	+6	18
3	Dukla Praha	9	+5	17
4	Vysočina Jihlava	10	+5	17
5	Vlašim	10	+5	15
6	Příbram	9	+1	14
7	Slavia Praha II	10	+2	13
8	Táborsko	10	0	13
9	Opava	10	−1	13
10	Baník Ostrava II	9	+3	11
11	Kladno	9	−1	10
12	Viktoria Žižkov	9	−8	10
13	Prostějov	10	−1	9
14	Arsenal Česká Lípa	9	−6	9
15	Třinec	9	−7	7
16	Hanácká	9	−11	6