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Arsenal Česká Lípa v Příbram

Arsenal Česká Lípa
2–2Full time
Příbram

FNL · SAT 24 OCT · Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Arsenal Česká Lípa 2–2 Příbram ARSENAL ČESKÁ LÍPA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Arsenal Česká Lípa win42%
The market said37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.834
The market’s Brier score0.795

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 28 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Arsenal Česká Lípa win at 42%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Arsenal Česká Lípa was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–26–32
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Arsenal Česká Lípa v Příbram
  4. 5′A goal for Arsenal Česká Lípa on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 68–19–13
  5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–0 Příbram
  6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Arsenal Česká Lípa win: 42% at kick-off, 68% now
  7. 6′We published Arsenal Česká Lípa at 42%. Our model now makes it 68%. 1–0 · 68–19–13
  8. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 8' Příbram
  9. 25′We published Arsenal Česká Lípa at 42%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–11
  10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 70–20–10
  11. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Arsenal Česká Lípa win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–0 Příbram
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–0 Příbram
  14. 52′We published Arsenal Česká Lípa at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
  15. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: A. Ondracek · Off: F. Havelka
  16. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Příbram · On: J. Tosnar · Off: S. Kop
  17. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: M. Simon · Off: D. Michl
  18. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: P. Schon · Off: F. Kaza
  19. 66′We published Arsenal Česká Lípa at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  20. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Arsenal Česká Lípa win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
  21. 71′70′: A. Conte on the scoresheet for Příbram, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 21–62–18
  22. 71′We said Arsenal Česká Lípa at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 21–62–18
  23. 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–1 Příbram · A. Conte
  24. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Arsenal Česká Lípa win: 42% at kick-off, 21% now
  25. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Arsenal Česká Lípa win 82%)
  26. 73′We said Arsenal Česká Lípa at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–16
  27. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Arsenal Česká Lípa
  28. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Příbram · On: M. Krulich · Off: L. Fila
  29. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Příbram
  30. 78′Příbram find the net on 77′. 1–2. 1–2 · 1–14–85
  31. 78′We said Arsenal Česká Lípa at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–14–85
  32. 78′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 1–14–85
  33. 78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Arsenal Česká Lípa 1–2 Příbram
  34. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Arsenal Česká Lípa win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
  35. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Příbram win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 71%)
  36. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: N. Kljajic · Off: P. Haitl
  37. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Arsenal Česká Lípa · On: A. Zouhar · Off: L. Dufek
  38. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Příbram · On: D. Vott · Off: A. Conte
  39. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Příbram · On: D. Rousar · Off: T. Jedlicka
  40. 94′A goal for Arsenal Česká Lípa on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 2–97–1
  41. 94′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 2–97–1
  42. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Arsenal Česká Lípa 2–2 Příbram
  43. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Příbram win 98%)
  44. FTFULL TIME Arsenal Česká Lípa 2–2 Příbram
  45. FTArsenal Česká Lípa 2–2 Příbram · Arsenal Česká Lípa win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Arsenal Česká Lípa are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Arsenal Česká Lípa 42%, draw 26%, Příbram 33%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Arsenal Česká Lípa v PříbramBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Arsenal Česká Lípa win42%
Draw26%
Příbram win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 12

VenueMestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa

RefereeR. Zurek

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Arsenal Česká Lípa

Příbram

6Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · FNL

Last match: 16 Oct · FNL

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Příbram11+217
13Arsenal Česká Lípa11−612

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · arsenal česká lípa winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off
42% The market37%
Us42%
Market37%

We make Arsenal Česká Lípa a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Arsenal Česká Lípa v Příbram1.43 – 1.23
Form · last six in FNL this season · since 29 AugW2 D1 L3 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 12 v 1713 v 6
The market · Arsenal Česká Lípa win37% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:49
Our probability · Arsenal Česká Lípa win The market, margin stripped

Published at 41%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Arsenal Česká Lípa win42%37%+5
Draw26%27%−1
Příbram win33%36%−3
Over 2.5 goals50%54%−4
Both teams to score53%59%−6
Over 1.5 goals74%76%−2
Over 3.5 goals28%33%−5
Arsenal Česká Lípa or draw67%64%+3
Arsenal Česká Lípa clean sheet29%––
Příbram clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%
0123450 7.0 8.7 5.3 2.2 1 10.1 12.1 7.5 3.1 2 7.2 8.7 5.3 2.2 3 3.4 4.2 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Arsenal Česká Lípa down, Příbram across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in FNL this season · since 29 Aug

ARSENAL ČESKÁ LÍPA

WLDLLW2–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–2

PŘÍBRAM

WDLDWL2–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Karviná12+1327
2Vysočina Jihlava12+923
3Dukla Praha12+321
4Ústí nad Labem12+419
5Vlašim12+418
6Příbram11+217
7Baník Ostrava II12+315
8Táborsko12015
9Kladno12−114
10Opava12−314
11Viktoria Žižkov11−714
12Slavia Praha II11+113
13Arsenal Česká Lípa11−612
14Třinec12−711
15Prostějov11−110
16Hanácká11−146

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.