Zlin v Sigma Olomouc

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sigma Olomouc win at 44%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Zlin v Sigma Olomouc
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Sigma Olomouc was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 30–26–44
4. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Abdoulaye Sylla · Sigma Olomouc
5. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Prince Mbatshi Mukuba · Zlin
6. 45′SECOND HALF Zlin 0–0 Sigma Olomouc
7. 46′We published Sigma Olomouc at 44%. Our model now makes it 74%. 0–1 · 7–19–74
8. 46′HALF-TIME Zlin 0–0 Sigma Olomouc
9. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Zlin 0–1 Sigma Olomouc
10. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Sigma Olomouc win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
11. 48′Vaclav Sejk scores for Sigma Olomouc on 46′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–19–74
12. 49′We published Sigma Olomouc at 44%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
13. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Zlin · On: Stanley Guzorochi Kanu · Off: Jiří Štefan
14. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Jakub Cernin · Zlin
15. 65′We published Sigma Olomouc at 44%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
16. 66′🟥 RED CARD · 66' Sigma Olomouc
17. 68′A red card for Sigma Olomouc on 66′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 3–16–81
18. 72′We said Sigma Olomouc at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–1 · 17–62–22
19. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Zlin · On: Lukas Bartosak · Off: Marian Pisoja
20. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Zlin · On: Michal Cupák · Off: Cletus Nombil
21. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Sigma Olomouc · On: Péter Baráth · Off: Michal Beran
22. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Zlin 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
23. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Sigma Olomouc win: 44% at kick-off, 22% now
24. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Sigma Olomouc win 83%)
25. 73′11 shots for Sigma Olomouc, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 16–63–21
26. 73′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 16–63–21
27. 73′73′: Michal Cupák on the scoresheet for Zlin, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 16–63–21
28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Sigma Olomouc win: 44% at kick-off, 21% now
29. 75′72′: Michal Cupák on the scoresheet for Zlin, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 15–66–19
30. 75′We said Sigma Olomouc at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 15–66–19
31. 80′We said Sigma Olomouc at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 11–75–14
32. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Sigma Olomouc win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
33. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Sigma Olomouc · On: David Tkáč · Off: Dominik Janosek
34. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Zlin · On: Joss Didiba · Off: Tomáš Poznar
35. 84′We said Sigma Olomouc at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–84–9
36. 91′We said Sigma Olomouc at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
37. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Sigma Olomouc win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
38. 94′Full time, 1–1. We called Sigma Olomouc at 44% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
39. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' David Machalík · Zlin
40. FTFULL TIME Zlin 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
41. FTZlin 1–1 Sigma Olomouc · Sigma Olomouc win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.