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Zbrojovka Brno v Bohemians 1905
Zbrojovka Brno
Bohemians 1905Czech Liga · SAT 24 OCT · Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Zbrojovka Brno win at 39%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Zbrojovka Brno 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–29–32
- 1′KICK-OFF Zbrojovka Brno v Bohemians 1905
- 2′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–19–13
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Zbrojovka Brno 1–0 Bohemians 1905
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Zbrojovka Brno win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
- 3′Zbrojovka Brno ahead on 2′ through Amadou Dante. 1–0. 1–0 · 69–19–13
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Zbrojovka Brno win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
- 11′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Matěj Kadlec · Bohemians 1905
- 16′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–11
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 71–20–9
- 45′HALF-TIME Zbrojovka Brno 1–0 Bohemians 1905
- 48′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
- 48′SECOND HALF Zbrojovka Brno 1–0 Bohemians 1905
- 49′48′: Aleš Čermák on the scoresheet for Bohemians 1905. 1–0 · 75–19–6
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 48' Zbrojovka Brno 1–1 Bohemians 1905 · Aleš Čermák
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Zbrojovka Brno win: 39% at kick-off, 30% now
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Zbrojovka Brno win 75%)
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Zbrojovka Brno win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 56′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–50–23
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Bohemians 1905 · On: Václav Pilař · Off: Jan Matoušek
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Bohemians 1905 · On: Jan Kovařík · Off: Matěj Kadlec
- 63′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–56–20
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Zbrojovka Brno · On: Jakub Janetzky · Off: Petr Ševčík
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Zbrojovka Brno · On: Antonín Vaníček · Off: Martin Rymarenko
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Bohemians 1905 · On: Ladislav Krobot · Off: Ladislav Almási
- 71′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Zbrojovka Brno win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
- 74′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–1
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Zbrojovka Brno 2–1 Bohemians 1905
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Zbrojovka Brno win: 39% at kick-off, 85% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Zbrojovka Brno win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 69%)
- 75′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 86–13–1
- 75′74′: Lukáš Penxa on the scoresheet for Zbrojovka Brno, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 86–13–1
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Zbrojovka Brno · On: Lucky Ezeh · Off: Daniel Vasulin
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Zbrojovka Brno win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
- 80′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Bohemians 1905 · On: Samuel Obinaya · Off: Vojtech Smrz
- 83′Bohemians 1905 level it on 82′ through Roman Kvet. 2–2. 2–2 · 9–84–7
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Zbrojovka Brno · On: Jaromír Zmrhal · Off: Tadeáš Vachoušek
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Zbrojovka Brno · On: Patrik Cavos · Off: Štěpán Langer
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' Zbrojovka Brno 2–2 Bohemians 1905 · Roman Kvet
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Zbrojovka Brno win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
- 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Zbrojovka Brno win 93%)
- 84′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–86–7
- 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 8–86–7
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Zbrojovka Brno win: 39% at kick-off, 8% now
- 90′We said Zbrojovka Brno at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Bohemians 1905 · On: David Heidenreich · Off: Aleš Čermák
- FTFULL TIME Zbrojovka Brno 2–2 Bohemians 1905
- FTZbrojovka Brno 2–2 Bohemians 1905 · Zbrojovka Brno win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Zbrojovka Brno are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Zbrojovka Brno 39%, draw 29%, Bohemians 1905 32%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Zbrojovka Brno win39%
Bohemians 1905 win32%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueMestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska
Match timeline
All events
Zbrojovka BrnoMIN
Bohemians 1905Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Zbrojovka Brno
3-4-3
Bohemians 1905
3-4-1-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Zbrojovka Brno
Bohemians 1905
Last match: 18 Oct · Czech Liga
Last match: 14 Oct · Czech Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Zbrojovka Brno
3-4-3
1 A. Hrdina
39 J. Klíma
26 F. Vedral
38 J. Pokorný
6 Lukáš Penxa
23 P. Ševčík
7 Š. Langer
44 A. Danté
11 M. Rymarenko
15 D. Vašulín
14 T. Vachoušek
Coach · M. Svědík
Substitutes
8 · P. Čavoš
77 · L. Ezeh
4 · E. Hunál
68 · J. Janetzký
25 · T. Břečka
3 · Kauan Carneiro Kaka
19 · B. Kanakimana
78 · O. Prodelal
79 · S. Afolabi
10 · A. Vaníček
17 · J. Zmrhal
Bohemians 1905
3-4-1-2
23 T. Frühwald
24 M. Havel
27 D. Lischka
3 Matej Kadlec
32 P. Mirvald
47 A. Čermák
42 V. Smrž
37 D. Javorček
16 R. Květ
99 L. Almási
10 J. Matoušek
Coach · J. Veselý
Substitutes
70 · Simon Cerny
8 · D. Heidenreich
25 · P. Kareem
19 · J. Kovařík
9 · L. Krobot
62 · Samuel Obinaya
11 · V. Pilař
12 · M. Reichl
6 · B. Sakala
13 · V. Zeman
15 · M. Banda
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Zbrojovka Brno
3-4-3
1 A. Hrdina
39 J. Klíma
26 F. Vedral
38 J. Pokorný
6 Lukáš Penxa
23 P. Ševčík
7 Š. Langer
44 A. Danté
11 M. Rymarenko
15 D. Vašulín
14 T. Vachoušek
Coach · M. Svědík
Substitutes
8 · P. Čavoš
77 · L. Ezeh
4 · E. Hunál
68 · J. Janetzký
25 · T. Břečka
3 · Kauan Carneiro Kaka
19 · B. Kanakimana
78 · O. Prodelal
79 · S. Afolabi
10 · A. Vaníček
17 · J. Zmrhal
Bohemians 1905
3-4-1-2
23 T. Frühwald
24 M. Havel
27 D. Lischka
3 Matej Kadlec
32 P. Mirvald
47 A. Čermák
42 V. Smrž
37 D. Javorček
16 R. Květ
99 L. Almási
10 J. Matoušek
Coach · J. Veselý
Substitutes
70 · Simon Cerny
8 · D. Heidenreich
25 · P. Kareem
19 · J. Kovařík
9 · L. Krobot
62 · Samuel Obinaya
11 · V. Pilař
12 · M. Reichl
6 · B. Sakala
13 · V. Zeman
15 · M. Banda
We make Zbrojovka Brno a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 38%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zbrojovka Brno win | 39% | 41% | −2 |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 0 |
| Bohemians 1905 win | 32% | 31% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 50% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 57% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 75% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 30% | −8 |
| Zbrojovka Brno or draw | 68% | 69% | −1 |
| Zbrojovka Brno clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Bohemians 1905 clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Czech Liga this season · since 2 Sept
ZBROJOVKA BRNO
BOHEMIANS 1905
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 11 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sigma Olomouc | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zbrojovka Brno | 11 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Sparta Praha | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 7 | Teplice | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | FK Jablonec | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Plzen | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 11 | −3 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 11 | −4 | 11 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 11 | −11 | 11 |
| 14 | Artis | 10 | −9 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 11 | −8 | 7 |
| 16 | Zlin | 11 | −15 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Slavia Praha
Sigma Olomouc
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sparta Praha
Teplice
FK Jablonec
Plzen
Hradec Králové
Pardubice
Baník Ostrava
Artis
Slovácko
Zlin