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Slavia Praha v Mlada Boleslav
Slavia Praha
Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga · SAT 24 OCT · Sinobo Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Slavia Praha win at 77%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Slavia Praha 77% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 76–15–8
- 1′KICK-OFF Slavia Praha v Mlada Boleslav
- 16′We said Slavia Praha at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 0–1 · 48–24–28
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Slavia Praha 0–1 Mlada Boleslav
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 48% now
- 17′Martin Šubert scores for Mlada Boleslav on 15′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 48–24–28
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 47% now
- 23′We said Slavia Praha at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–1 · 44–26–30
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 40–27–32
- 32′We said Slavia Praha at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–28–33
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 37% now
- 39′We said Slavia Praha at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–29–36
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Mlada Boleslav win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Slavia Praha win 36%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Slavia Praha 0–1 Mlada Boleslav
- 46′We said Slavia Praha at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–31–40
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Slavia Praha · On: David Moses · Off: Toumani Diakite
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Slavia Praha · On: Mubarak Suleiman · Off: Samuel Isife
- 46′SECOND HALF Slavia Praha 0–1 Mlada Boleslav
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+4' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 27% now
- 51′We said Slavia Praha at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 57%. 1–1 · 57–33–11
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Slavia Praha 1–1 Mlada Boleslav
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 57% now
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Slavia Praha win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Mlada Boleslav win 43%)
- 52′51′: Lukáš Provod on the scoresheet for Slavia Praha, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 56–33–11
- 53′GOAL DISALLOWED · 53' Slavia Praha
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 24% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Mlada Boleslav win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Slavia Praha win 56%)
- 62′14 shots for Slavia Praha, 9 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 17–31–52
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 17% now
- 65′We said Slavia Praha at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–31–55
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Mlada Boleslav · On: Lukas Letenay · Off: Jiří Klíma
- 66′18 shots for Slavia Praha, 9 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 13–30–56
- 68′Slavia Praha have had 21 attempts to 9 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 12–30–58
- 72′We said Slavia Praha at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–28–64
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Mlada Boleslav · On: Filip Spatenka · Off: Daniel Langhamer
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Slavia Praha · On: David Jurasek · Off: Michal Sadílek
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Mlada Boleslav · On: Matej Zachoval · Off: Martin Šubert
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 7% now
- 75′26 shots for Slavia Praha, 9 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 7–26–68
- 79′We said Slavia Praha at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–22–75
- 85′28 shots for Slavia Praha, 9 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 1–13–86
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Slavia Praha · On: Danijel Sturm · Off: Lukáš Provod
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Slavia Praha · On: Mikulas Konecny · Off: Tomáš Holeš
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Slavia Praha 1–1 Mlada Boleslav
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 13% now
- 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Mlada Boleslav win 87%)
- 87′86′: Mojmír Chytil on the scoresheet for Slavia Praha, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 12–85–3
- 88′34 shots for Slavia Praha, 9 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 11–86–3
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Slavia Praha win: 77% at kick-off, 7% now
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Mlada Boleslav · On: Josef Kolarik · Off: Solomon John
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Vojtěch Vorel · Mlada Boleslav
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Danijel Sturm · Slavia Praha
- FTFULL TIME Slavia Praha 1–1 Mlada Boleslav
- FTSlavia Praha 1–1 Mlada Boleslav · Slavia Praha win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Slavia Praha are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Slavia Praha 77%, draw 15%, Mlada Boleslav 8%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Slavia Praha win77%
Mlada Boleslav win8%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueSinobo Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Slavia PrahaMIN
Mlada BoleslavEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Slavia Praha
3-4-2-1
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Slavia Praha
Mlada Boleslav
Last match: 20 Oct · UEFA Champions League
Last match: 17 Oct · Czech Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Slavia Praha
3-4-2-1
29 N. Domchak
3 T. Holeš
22 T. Diakité
6 A. N'Guessan
14 S. Isife
23 M. Sadílek
30 W. Nowak
8 O. Kubiak
20 E. Ayaosi
13 M. Chytil
17 L. Provod
Coach · J. Trpišovský
Substitutes
1 · O. Kolář
39 · D. Jurásek
42 · M. Konečný
16 · D. Moses
40 · Adam Rezek
15 · M. E. Suleiman
27 · T. Vlček
4 · D. Zima
10 · D. Šturm
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1
42 V. Vorel
32 F. Matoušek
44 O. Karafiát
3 M. Králik
11 M. Hybš
19 D. Kozel
13 D. Donát
20 S. John
28 D. Langhamer
21 M. Šubert
23 J. Klíma
Coach · A. Majer
Substitutes
59 · J. Floder
26 · M. Zachoval
49 · J. Kolářík
77 · D. Pech
14 · S. Grygar
17 · F. Špatenka
18 · M. Havran
9 · L. Letenay
5 · J. Harušťák
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Slavia Praha
3-4-2-1
29 N. Domchak
3 T. Holeš
22 T. Diakité
6 A. N'Guessan
14 S. Isife
23 M. Sadílek
30 W. Nowak
8 O. Kubiak
20 E. Ayaosi
13 M. Chytil
17 L. Provod
Coach · J. Trpišovský
Substitutes
1 · O. Kolář
39 · D. Jurásek
42 · M. Konečný
16 · D. Moses
40 · Adam Rezek
15 · M. E. Suleiman
27 · T. Vlček
4 · D. Zima
10 · D. Šturm
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1
42 V. Vorel
32 F. Matoušek
44 O. Karafiát
3 M. Králik
11 M. Hybš
19 D. Kozel
13 D. Donát
20 S. John
28 D. Langhamer
21 M. Šubert
23 J. Klíma
Coach · A. Majer
Substitutes
59 · J. Floder
26 · M. Zachoval
49 · J. Kolářík
77 · D. Pech
14 · S. Grygar
17 · F. Špatenka
18 · M. Havran
9 · L. Letenay
5 · J. Harušťák
We make Slavia Praha a 77% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.6–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha win | 77% | 75% | +2 |
| Draw | 15% | 15% | 0 |
| Mlada Boleslav win | 8% | 10% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 70% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 55% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 86% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 49% | −5 |
| Slavia Praha or draw | 92% | 90% | +2 |
| Slavia Praha clean sheet | 47% | – | – |
| Mlada Boleslav clean sheet | 7% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Czech Liga this season · since 30 Aug
SLAVIA PRAHA
MLADA BOLESLAV
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 11 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sigma Olomouc | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zbrojovka Brno | 11 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Sparta Praha | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 7 | Teplice | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | FK Jablonec | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Plzen | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 11 | −3 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 11 | −4 | 11 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 11 | −11 | 11 |
| 14 | Artis | 10 | −9 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 11 | −8 | 7 |
| 16 | Zlin | 11 | −15 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sigma Olomouc
Slovan Liberec
Zbrojovka Brno
Sparta Praha
Teplice
FK Jablonec
Plzen
Bohemians 1905
Hradec Králové
Pardubice
Baník Ostrava
Artis
Slovácko
Zlin