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Slavia Praha v Hradec Králové

Slavia Praha
0–0Full time
Hradec Králové

Czech Liga · SAT 17 OCT · Sinobo Stadium

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Slavia Praha 0–0 Hradec Králové SLAVIA PRAHA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Slavia Praha win70%
The market said70%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.157
The market’s Brier score1.161

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay22 notes · 26 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Slavia Praha win at 70%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Slavia Praha 70% before kick-off, 70% now. 0–0 · 70–19–11
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Slavia Praha v Hradec Králové
  4. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Slavia Praha win: 70% at kick-off, 60% now
  5. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Samuel Isife · Slavia Praha
  6. 35′Slavia Praha have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 59–29–12
  7. 36′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 58%. 0–0 · 58–30–12
  8. 44′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–34–12
  9. 45′10 shots for Slavia Praha, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 54–34–12
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Slavia Praha 0–0 Hradec Králové
  11. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Slavia Praha · On: Mubarak Suleiman · Off: Samuel Isife
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Slavia Praha 0–0 Hradec Králové
  13. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Slavia Praha · On: Emmanuel Ayaosi · Off: Danijel Sturm
  14. 49′Slavia Praha have had 13 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 52–37–12
  15. 51′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–38–12
  16. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Slavia Praha win: 70% at kick-off, 50% now
  17. 52′Slavia Praha have had 13 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 50–39–12
  18. 53′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–40–12
  19. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 47–41–11
  20. 58′Slavia Praha are down to ten from 57′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 45–44–11
  21. 58′🟥 RED CARD · 57' Tomáš Chorý · Slavia Praha
  22. 59′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–45–11
  23. 59′16 shots for Slavia Praha, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 44–45–11
  24. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Hradec Králové · On: Matej Valenta · Off: Vladimír Darida
  25. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Slavia Praha win 42%)
  26. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Slavia Praha win: 70% at kick-off, 40% now
  27. 65′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–51–10
  28. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Jakub Uhrincat · Hradec Králové
  29. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Hradec Králové · On: Adam Vlkanova · Off: Tom Sloncik
  30. 70′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–57–9
  31. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Slavia Praha · On: Lukáš Provod · Off: Mojmír Chytil
  32. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Slavia Praha · On: David Moses · Off: Tomáš Vlček
  33. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Abdullahi Umar · Hradec Králové
  34. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Slavia Praha win: 70% at kick-off, 30% now
  35. 74′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–63–8
  36. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 71' David Horejš · Hradec Králové
  37. 75′Slavia Praha have had 21 attempts to 6 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 27–65–8
  38. 78′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–70–7
  39. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Slavia Praha win: 70% at kick-off, 20% now
  40. 81′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–76–5
  41. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Hradec Králové · On: Daniel Trubač · Off: Ondřej Mihálik
  42. 84′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–83–4
  43. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Slavia Praha win: 70% at kick-off, 10% now
  44. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Slavia Praha · On: Ange N'Guessan · Off: Wiktor Nowak
  45. 88′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–88–3
  46. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Lukáš Provod · Slavia Praha
  47. 93′We said Slavia Praha at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–95–1
  48. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' František Čech · Hradec Králové
  49. FTFULL TIME Slavia Praha 0–0 Hradec Králové
  50. FTSlavia Praha 0–0 Hradec Králové · Slavia Praha win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slavia Praha are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slavia Praha 70%, draw 19%, Hradec Králové 11%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Slavia Praha v Hradec KrálovéBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Slavia Praha win70%
Draw19%
Hradec Králové win11%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueSinobo Stadium

Line-ups

Slavia Praha

3-4-2-1

Hradec Králové

3-4-2-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slavia Praha

Hradec Králové

4Days since last match7

Last match: 13 Oct · UEFA Champions League

Last match: 10 Oct · Czech Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Slavia Praha10+2026
10Hradec Králové10−314

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Slavia Praha

3-4-2-1

35 J. Markovič

3 T. Holeš

4 D. Zima

27 T. Vlček

14 S. Isife

23 M. Sadílek

30 W. Nowak

8 O. Kubiak

13 M. Chytil

10 D. Šturm

25 T. Chorý

Coach · J. Trpišovský

Substitutes

22 · T. Diakité

32 · Pavel Kacor

17 · L. Provod

29 · N. Domchak

41 · M. A. Solarte

42 · M. Konečný

6 · A. N'Guessan

16 · D. Moses

20 · E. Ayaosi

15 · M. E. Suleiman

Hradec Králové

3-4-2-1

12 A. Zadražil

7 J. Uhrinčať

4 T. Petrášek

25 F. Čech

2 D. Ludvíček

16 V. Darida

11 S. Dancák

3 F. Mielke

24 A. Umar

19 T. Slončík

17 O. Mihálik

Coach · D. Horejs

Substitutes

9 · M. Valenta

22 · S. Ponikelsky

8 · V. Zentrich

30 · J. Chvátal

33 · Rodrigo Abajas

20 · M. Vágner

1 · P. Vízek

58 · A. Vlkanova

27 · D. Trubač

Our number · slavia praha winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
70% The market70%
Us70%
Market70%

We make Slavia Praha a 70% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.2–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Slavia Praha v Hradec Králové2.16 – 0.70
Form · last six in Czech Liga this season · since 22 AugW5 D1 L0 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 26 v 141 v 10
The market · Slavia Praha win70% · ours 70%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75% 11 OCT 04:0217 OCT 13:24
Our probability · Slavia Praha win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Slavia Praha win70%70%0
Draw19%19%0
Hradec Králové win11%12%−1
Over 2.5 goals54%60%−6
Both teams to score44%51%−7
Over 1.5 goals78%80%−2
Over 3.5 goals32%39%−7
Slavia Praha or draw89%88%+1
Slavia Praha clean sheet50%––
Hradec Králové clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 13.3%
0123450 6.4 3.6 1 12.0 9.0 3.0 2 13.3 9.1 3.2 3 9.6 6.5 2.3 4 5.2 3.6 5 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Slavia Praha down, Hradec Králové across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.60
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored7 of 10
Last meetingsHRA 3–1 SLA · HRA 2–1 SLA · SLA 2–2 HRA · SLA 2–1 HRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Czech Liga this season · since 22 Aug

SLAVIA PRAHA

DWWWWW2–2 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–0

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ

LWDWLL0–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Slavia Praha10+2026
2Slovan Liberec10+720
3Sparta Praha10+818
4Mlada Boleslav10+417
5Sigma Olomouc10+317
6FK Jablonec10+317
7Teplice10+217
8Zbrojovka Brno10−116
9Bohemians 190510015
10Hradec Králové10−314
11Plzen10+313
12Baník Ostrava10−1110
13Artis10−98
14Pardubice10−78
15Slovácko10−77
16Zlin10−121

The competition's standings before kick-off.