Sigma Olomouc v Zbrojovka Brno prediction · Czech Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sigma OlomoucDrawZbrojovka Brno

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sigma Olomouc 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sigma Olomouc are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sigma Olomouc 51%, draw 25%, Zbrojovka Brno 24%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Sigma Olomouc v Zbrojovka BrnoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Sigma Olomouc win51%

Draw25%

Zbrojovka Brno win24%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueAndruv stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sigma Olomouc

Zbrojovka Brno

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Czech Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Sigma Olomouc	12	+4	21
5	Zbrojovka Brno	12	0	20

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sigma olomouc winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Sigma Olomouc a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sigma Olomouc v Zbrojovka Brno~~1.71 – 1.07

~~Form · last six in Czech Liga this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 21 v 20~~3 v 5

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sigma Olomouc win	51%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Zbrojovka Brno win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Sigma Olomouc or draw	76%	–	–
Sigma Olomouc clean sheet	35%	–	–
Zbrojovka Brno clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 7.2 6.1 3.7 1 10.0 11.9 6.0 2.2 2 9.0 9.3 5.0 3 5.2 5.3 2.8 4 2.3 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sigma Olomouc down, Zbrojovka Brno across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,491 Czech Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Czech Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.6% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sigma Olomouc at home: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Zbrojovka Brno away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Sigma Olomouc, 1.07 for Zbrojovka Brno. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ZBR 2–3 SIG · SIG 0–2 ZBR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Czech Liga this season · since 5 Sept

SIGMA OLOMOUC

WWLDWD3–0 · 3–2 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

ZBROJOVKA BRNO

LWLLWD0–4 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slavia Praha	12	+20	28
2	Mlada Boleslav	12	+5	21
3	Sigma Olomouc	12	+4	21
4	Slovan Liberec	11	+6	20
5	Zbrojovka Brno	12	0	20
6	Sparta Praha	11	+8	19
7	Teplice	12	+1	18
8	FK Jablonec	11	+2	17
9	Plzen	11	+4	16
10	Bohemians 1905	11	0	16
11	Hradec Králové	11	−3	15
12	Pardubice	11	−4	11
13	Baník Ostrava	11	−11	11
14	Artis	11	−9	9
15	Slovácko	11	−8	7
16	Zlin	12	−15	2