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Hradec Králové v Artis

Hradec Králové

2–4Full time

Artis

Czech Liga · SAT 10 OCT · FINEP Arena

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Hradec Králové 2–4 Artis HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hradec Králové win~~66%

~~The market said~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.239

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.021

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 32 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hradec Králové win at 66%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Hradec Králové 66% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 67–20–13
2′KICK-OFF Hradec Králové v Artis
10′SUBSTITUTION · 10' Artis · On: D. Preisler · Off: Y. Sanyang
11′We said Hradec Králové at 66% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 1–0 · 87–10–3
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Hradec Králové 1–0 Artis
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Hradec Králové win: 66% at kick-off, 87% now
11′⚽ GOAL · 12' Hradec Králové 1–0 Artis · V. Darida
12′V. Darida scores for Hradec Králové on 12′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 87–10–3
31′33′ and it is 1–0: A. Alegue on the scoresheet for Artis. 1–0 · 87–11–3
34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Hradec Králové 1–1 Artis · A. Alegue
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Hradec Králové win: 66% at kick-off, 57% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Hradec Králové win: 66% at kick-off, 56% now
41′We said Hradec Králové at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–33–13
46′Artis have had 9.0 attempts to 4.0 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 51–36–13
46′HALF-TIME Hradec Králové 1–1 Artis
46′SECOND HALF Hradec Králové 1–1 Artis
51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hradec Králové · On: T. Petrasek · Off: F. Cech
51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hradec Králové · On: A. Vlkanova · Off: O. Mihalik
53′Artis ahead on 56′ through E. H. Ndiaye. 1–1. 1–1 · 47–40–13
53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' D. Plechaty · Artis
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Hradec Králové 1–2 Artis · E. H. Ndiaye (assist N. Glossoa)
59′Hradec Králové are down to ten from 61′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–2 · 13–29–58
59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Hradec Králové win: 66% at kick-off, 13% now
59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Artis win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Hradec Králové win 13%)
61′🟥 RED CARD · 61' J. Kucera · Hradec Králové
64′We said Hradec Králové at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–2 · 10–28–62
64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Artis · On: I. Fomba · Off: Q. Adediran
64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Hradec Králové · On: M. Valenta · Off: S. Dancak
64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Hradec Králové · On: A. Umar · Off: T. Sloncik
68′We said Hradec Králové at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–2 · 8–26–66
74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Hradec Králové · On: R. Abajas · Off: D. Trubac
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Hradec Králové 1–3 Artis · E. H. Ndiaye
77′⚽ GOAL · 75' Hradec Králové 2–3 Artis · N. Glossoa (assist A. Alegue)
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Hradec Králové 2–3 Artis · F. Cihak (assist V. Darida)
82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Artis · On: S. Harazim · Off: A. Alegue
82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Artis · On: M. Pospisil · Off: A. Labik
84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' S. Harazim · Artis
86′🟨 YELLOW · 84' R. Abajas · Hradec Králové
87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' I. Fomba · Artis
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Hradec Králové 2–4 Artis · F. Cihak
90′⚽ GOAL · 88' Hradec Králové 2–4 Artis · S. Harazim (assist I. Fomba)
FTFULL TIME Hradec Králové 2–4 Artis
FTHradec Králové 2–4 Artis · Hradec Králové win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Hradec Králové win66%

Draw21%

Artis win13%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · FINEP Arena

Referee · T. Klima

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Hradec Králové

3-4-3

12 A. Zadrazil

7 J. Uhrincat

5 F. Cihak

25 F. Cech

28 J. Kucera

16 V. Darida

11 S. Dancak

27 D. Trubac

19 T. Sloncik

17 O. Mihalik

70 T. Cvancara

Coach · David Horejs

Substitutes

1 · P. Vizek

20 · M. Vagner

4 · T. Petrasek

2 · D. Ludvicek

3 · F. Mielke

33 · R. Abajas

30 · J. Chvatal

9 · M. Valenta

22 · S. Ponikelsky

58 · A. Vlkanova

24 · A. Umar

Artis

4-2-3-1

29 R. Kasik

33 N. Glossoa

4 D. Plechaty

34 K. Pojezny

15 E. Fully

36 S. Bohac

9 A. Labik

7 A. Alegue

6 Q. Adediran

90 Y. Sanyang

12 E. H. Ndiaye

Coach · Roman Nadvornik

Substitutes

31 · J. Borek

5 · M. Jerabek

2 · S. Harazim

27 · D. Preisler

26 · M. Pospisil

21 · A. Carlen

20 · D. Sarapata

14 · A. Petrak

8 · S. Komljenovic

11 · I. Fomba

87 · V. Perisic

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Hradec Králové

3-4-3

12 A. Zadrazil

7 J. Uhrincat

5 F. Cihak

25 F. Cech

28 J. Kucera

16 V. Darida

11 S. Dancak

27 D. Trubac

19 T. Sloncik

17 O. Mihalik

70 T. Cvancara

Coach · David Horejs

Substitutes

1 · P. Vizek

20 · M. Vagner

4 · T. Petrasek

2 · D. Ludvicek

3 · F. Mielke

33 · R. Abajas

30 · J. Chvatal

9 · M. Valenta

22 · S. Ponikelsky

58 · A. Vlkanova

24 · A. Umar

Artis

4-2-3-1

29 R. Kasik

33 N. Glossoa

4 D. Plechaty

34 K. Pojezny

15 E. Fully

36 S. Bohac

9 A. Labik

7 A. Alegue

6 Q. Adediran

90 Y. Sanyang

12 E. H. Ndiaye

Coach · Roman Nadvornik

Substitutes

31 · J. Borek

5 · M. Jerabek

2 · S. Harazim

27 · D. Preisler

26 · M. Pospisil

21 · A. Carlen

20 · D. Sarapata

14 · A. Petrak

8 · S. Komljenovic

11 · I. Fomba

87 · V. Perisic

Our number · hradec králové winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

66% The market57%

Us66%

~~Market~~57%

We make Hradec Králové a 66% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.7.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · hradec králové win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 63% to 57% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hradec Králové win	66%	57%	+9
Draw	21%	24%	−3
Artis win	13%	20%	−7
Over 2.5 goals	52%	55%	−3
Both teams to score	45%	55%	−9
Over 1.5 goals	77%	77%	0
Over 3.5 goals	31%	35%	−4
Hradec Králové or draw	87%	80%	+7
Hradec Králové clean sheet	48%	–	–
Artis clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.5%

0123450 7.0 4.3 1 12.0 9.8 3.6 2 12.5 9.0 3.4 3 8.6 6.1 2.3 4 4.6 3.2 5 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Hradec Králové down, Artis across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,472 Czech Liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Czech Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.9% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Hradec Králové at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Artis away: 0.80 scored, 1.60 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.05 goals for Hradec Králové, 0.75 for Artis. Most likely score 2–0.

Line-ups

Confirmed 10 Oct 14:09. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Czech Liga

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ

LLWDWL0–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–2

ARTIS

LLWLLD0–1 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slavia Praha	10	+20	26
2	Slovan Liberec	9	+9	20
3	Mlada Boleslav	8	+8	17
4	Sigma Olomouc	9	+3	16
5	Teplice	9	+2	16
6	Zbrojovka Brno	9	0	16
7	Sparta Praha	9	+6	15
8	FK Jablonec	9	+2	14
9	Hradec Králové	9	−1	14
10	Plzen	9	0	10
11	Baník Ostrava	9	−10	10
12	Bohemians 1905	8	−2	9
13	Pardubice	9	−5	8
14	Artis	9	−11	5
15	Slovácko	9	−9	4
16	Zlin	10	−12	1