FK Jablonec v Slavia Praha prediction · Czech Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FK JablonecDrawSlavia Praha

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Slavia Praha 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slavia Praha are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FK Jablonec 19%, draw 24%, Slavia Praha 57%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on FK Jablonec v Slavia PrahaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

FK Jablonec win19%

Draw24%

Slavia Praha win57%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueStadion Strelnice

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FK Jablonec

Slavia Praha

9Days since last match7

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

Last match: 24 Oct · Czech Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slavia praha winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Slavia Praha a 57% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FK Jablonec v Slavia Praha~~0.95 – 1.80

~~Form · last six in Czech Liga this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 17 v 28~~8 v 1

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FK Jablonec win	19%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Slavia Praha win	57%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
FK Jablonec or draw	43%	–	–
FK Jablonec clean sheet	17%	–	–
Slavia Praha clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 7.2 11.0 10.4 6.3 2.9 1 5.4 11.4 9.6 5.8 2.6 2 2.9 5.1 4.6 2.7 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FK Jablonec down, Slavia Praha across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,491 Czech Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Czech Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.6% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FK Jablonec at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Slavia Praha away: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for FK Jablonec, 1.80 for Slavia Praha. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~9 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SLA 5–1 FKJ · FKJ 2–2 SLA · SLA 4–3 FKJ · FKJ 1–1 SLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Czech Liga this season · since 5 Sept

FK JABLONEC

LWLDWL1–2 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–3

SLAVIA PRAHA

WWWWDD4–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slavia Praha	12	+20	28
2	Mlada Boleslav	12	+5	21
3	Sigma Olomouc	12	+4	21
4	Slovan Liberec	11	+6	20
5	Zbrojovka Brno	12	0	20
6	Sparta Praha	11	+8	19
7	Teplice	12	+1	18
8	FK Jablonec	11	+2	17
9	Plzen	11	+4	16
10	Bohemians 1905	11	0	16
11	Hradec Králové	11	−3	15
12	Pardubice	11	−4	11
13	Baník Ostrava	11	−11	11
14	Artis	11	−9	9
15	Slovácko	11	−8	7
16	Zlin	12	−15	2