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Bohemians 1905 v Mlada Boleslav
Bohemians 1905
Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga · WED 14 OCT · Dolicek Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Bohemians 1905 win at 41%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Bohemians 1905 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–26–32
- 1′KICK-OFF Bohemians 1905 v Mlada Boleslav
- 12′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Jiri Floder · Mlada Boleslav
- 13′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Jan Zíka · Mlada Boleslav
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Bohemians 1905 1–0 Mlada Boleslav · Aleš Čermák
- 14′Bohemians 1905 ahead on 13′ through Aleš Čermák. 1–0. 1–0 · 69–20–12
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Bohemians 1905 win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
- 15′We said Bohemians 1905 at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–20–12
- 25′We said Bohemians 1905 at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–10
- 28′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Aleš Majer · Mlada Boleslav
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 70–20–10
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Bohemians 1905 win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
- 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Vojtech Smrz · Bohemians 1905
- 45′8.0 shots for Mlada Boleslav, 3.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–0 · 73–20–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Bohemians 1905 1–0 Mlada Boleslav
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Mlada Boleslav · On: Josef Kolarik · Off: Solomon John
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Ladislav Krobot · Bohemians 1905
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Bohemians 1905 · On: Václav Pilař · Off: Ladislav Krobot
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Bohemians 1905 · On: Šimon Černý · Off: Roman Kvet
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Mlada Boleslav · On: David Kozel · Off: Filip Spatenka
- 57′SECOND HALF Bohemians 1905 1–0 Mlada Boleslav
- 58′We said Bohemians 1905 at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–19–5
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Jiří Klíma · Mlada Boleslav
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Tomas Fruhwald · Bohemians 1905
- 66′We said Bohemians 1905 at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Bohemians 1905 win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Martin Šubert · Mlada Boleslav
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Mlada Boleslav · On: Marek Havran · Off: Daniel Langhamer
- 75′We said Bohemians 1905 at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–1
- 81′We said Bohemians 1905 at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Bohemians 1905 win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Bohemians 1905 · On: Denis Vala · Off: Ladislav Almási
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Bohemians 1905 · On: Samuel Obinaya · Off: Vojtech Smrz
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Mlada Boleslav · On: Jan Buryan · Off: Ondrej Karafiat
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Samuel Obinaya · Bohemians 1905
- 88′We said Bohemians 1905 at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Aleš Čermák · Bohemians 1905
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 92' Bohemians 1905 · On: David Heidenreich · Off: Aleš Čermák
- 94′1–0 at the end. Our 41% on Bohemians 1905 comes in. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 94' David Lischka · Bohemians 1905
- FTFULL TIME Bohemians 1905 1–0 Mlada Boleslav
- FTBohemians 1905 1–0 Mlada Boleslav · Bohemians 1905 win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 16:33 · locked at kick-off
Bohemians 1905 win41%
Mlada Boleslav win32%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 17:00
VenueDolicek Stadium
RefereeK. Roucek
Match timeline
All events
Bohemians 1905MIN
Mlada BoleslavEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Bohemians 1905
5-3-2
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Bohemians 1905
Mlada Boleslav
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Bohemians 1905
5-3-2
23 T. Frühwald
32 P. Mirvald
24 M. Havel
27 D. Lischka
3 Matej Kadlec
37 D. Javorček
47 A. Čermák
42 V. Smrž
16 R. Květ
9 L. Krobot
99 L. Almási
Coach · J. Veselý
Substitutes
15 · M. Banda
70 · Simon Cerny
8 · D. Heidenreich
25 · P. Kareem
19 · J. Kovařík
62 · Samuel Obinaya
11 · V. Pilař
12 · M. Reichl
18 · D. Vala
22 · J. Vondra
13 · V. Zeman
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1
59 J. Floder
13 D. Donát
44 O. Karafiát
3 M. Králik
11 M. Hybš
17 F. Špatenka
76 Jan Zika
20 S. John
28 D. Langhamer
21 M. Šubert
23 J. Klíma
Coach · A. Majer
Substitutes
14 · S. Grygar
5 · J. Harušťák
18 · M. Havran
49 · J. Kolářík
19 · D. Kozel
9 · L. Letenay
32 · F. Matoušek
77 · D. Pech
42 · V. Vorel
26 · M. Zachoval
70 · J. Buryán
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Bohemians 1905
5-3-2
23 T. Frühwald
32 P. Mirvald
24 M. Havel
27 D. Lischka
3 Matej Kadlec
37 D. Javorček
47 A. Čermák
42 V. Smrž
16 R. Květ
9 L. Krobot
99 L. Almási
Coach · J. Veselý
Substitutes
15 · M. Banda
70 · Simon Cerny
8 · D. Heidenreich
25 · P. Kareem
19 · J. Kovařík
62 · Samuel Obinaya
11 · V. Pilař
12 · M. Reichl
18 · D. Vala
22 · J. Vondra
13 · V. Zeman
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1
59 J. Floder
13 D. Donát
44 O. Karafiát
3 M. Králik
11 M. Hybš
17 F. Špatenka
76 Jan Zika
20 S. John
28 D. Langhamer
21 M. Šubert
23 J. Klíma
Coach · A. Majer
Substitutes
14 · S. Grygar
5 · J. Harušťák
18 · M. Havran
49 · J. Kolářík
19 · D. Kozel
9 · L. Letenay
32 · F. Matoušek
77 · D. Pech
42 · V. Vorel
26 · M. Zachoval
70 · J. Buryán
We make Bohemians 1905 a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 40%, 41% now. The market has gone from 42% to 50% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 win | 41% | 50% | −9 |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | +3 |
| Mlada Boleslav win | 32% | 26% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 60% | −11 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 62% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 81% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 38% | −11 |
| Bohemians 1905 or draw | 68% | 74% | −5 |
| Bohemians 1905 clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Mlada Boleslav clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
10 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Czech Liga
BOHEMIANS 1905
MLADA BOLESLAV
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 10 | 20 | 26 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 10 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Mlada Boleslav | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 10 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 10 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Teplice | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Zbrojovka Brno | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Hradec Králové | 10 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Plzen | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Baník Ostrava | 10 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 | Artis | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Pardubice | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 10 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Zlin | 10 | -12 | 1 |
The competition's standings.
Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
Sparta Praha
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Zbrojovka Brno
Hradec Králové
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
Artis
Pardubice
Slovácko
Zlin