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Model 1.2

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Mlada Boleslav v Bohemians 1905

Mlada Boleslav
13:30Upcoming
Bohemians 1905

Cup · WED 28 OCT · Lokotrans Arena

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Mlada BoleslavDrawBohemians 1905
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Mlada Boleslav 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mlada Boleslav are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mlada Boleslav 45%, draw 27%, Bohemians 1905 28%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Mlada Boleslav v Bohemians 1905Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Mlada Boleslav win45%
Draw27%
Bohemians 1905 win28%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:30

RoundRound of 16

VenueLokotrans Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mlada Boleslav

Bohemians 1905

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Czech Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · Czech Liga

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mlada boleslav winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Mlada Boleslav a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Mlada Boleslav v Bohemians 19051.47 – 1.11
Form · Cup this season · since 25 AugW2 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mlada Boleslav win45%––
Draw27%––
Bohemians 1905 win28%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Mlada Boleslav or draw72%––
Mlada Boleslav clean sheet33%––
Bohemians 1905 clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%
0123450 8.4 7.9 4.7 1 10.5 12.8 6.8 2.6 2 8.1 8.9 5.0 3 4.0 4.4 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mlada Boleslav down, Bohemians 1905 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.30
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsBOH 1–0 MLA · MLA 2–2 BOH · BOH 0–0 MLA · BOH 1–1 MLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 25 Aug

MLADA BOLESLAV

WW4–0 · 3–0

BOHEMIANS 1905

WW3–2 · 5–0