Zabreh v Valašské Meziříčí prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Zabreh 1–1 Valašské Meziříčí ZABREH WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Zabreh win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.976

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Zabreh win50%

Draw20%

Valašské Meziříčí win29%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Zabreh

Valašské Meziříčí

7Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Valašské Meziříčí	9	+4	12
10	Zabreh	9	−1	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zabreh winPublished 11 Oct 15:49

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Zabreh a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zabreh win	50%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Valašské Meziříčí win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Zabreh or draw	71%	–	–
Zabreh clean sheet	20%	–	–
Valašské Meziříčí clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.4 3.6 3.0 1 4.7 7.7 6.2 3.4 2 5.1 8.1 6.6 3.7 3 3.7 5.9 4.8 2.7 4 2.1 3.3 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zabreh down, Valašské Meziříčí across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,159 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.9% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 7.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zabreh at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Valašské Meziříčí away: 2.83 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.23 goals for Zabreh, 1.67 for Valašské Meziříčí. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~7.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VAL 1–8 ZAB · ZAB 1–4 VAL

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F

ZABREH

LLWLDL0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 1–2

VALAŠSKÉ MEZIŘÍČÍ

DWLDWW2–2 · 4–2 · 2–5 · 2–2 · 6–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kravare	10	+15	25
2	Bospor Bohumín	9	+22	24
3	Vratimov	9	+7	21
4	Hlučín	10	+5	19
5	Stonava	10	+5	17
6	Opava II	10	+3	16
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	10	+4	14
8	Nový Jičín	10	−3	14
9	Valašské Meziříčí	9	+4	12
10	Zabreh	9	−1	11
11	Pustá Polom	9	−5	10
12	Břidličná	10	−8	10
13	Frydek-Mistek B	9	−5	9
14	Šumperk	9	−3	8
15	Bílovec	9	−13	5
16	Frýdlant	10	−27	3