Zabreh v Frýdlant prediction · 4. liga - Divizie F

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ZabrehDrawFrýdlant

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Zabreh 71%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zabreh are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zabreh 71%, draw 16%, Frýdlant 13%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Zabreh v FrýdlantBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Zabreh win71%

Draw16%

Frýdlant win13%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup F · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zabreh

Frýdlant

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Zabreh	11	+1	15
16	Frýdlant	11	−30	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zabreh winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

71% The market–

Us71%

We make Zabreh a 71% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Zabreh v Frýdlant~~2.70 – 1.02

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 15 v 3~~9 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zabreh win	71%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Frýdlant win	13%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Zabreh or draw	87%	–	–
Zabreh clean sheet	37%	–	–
Frýdlant clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.6%

0123450 3.1 2.8 1 6.7 7.2 3.7 2 8.6 8.5 4.4 3 7.4 7.2 3.7 4 5.1 4.9 2.4 5 3.0 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Zabreh down, Frýdlant across0–5 goals a side shown (92.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,171 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.3% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zabreh at home: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Frýdlant away: 1.17 scored, 3.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.70 goals for Zabreh, 1.02 for Frýdlant. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ZAB 1–3 FRY · FRY 2–2 ZAB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept

ZABREH

WLDLDW1–0 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–0

FRÝDLANT

LLLLWL2–5 · 1–5 · 0–6 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	11	+22	27
2	Vratimov	12	+8	27
3	Kravare	11	+15	26
4	Hlučín	12	+7	23
5	Valašské Meziříčí	12	+6	19
6	Opava II	12	+4	19
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	11	+9	17
8	Stonava	11	+3	17
9	Zabreh	11	+1	15
10	Nový Jičín	12	−4	15
11	Frydek-Mistek B	11	−4	12
12	Pustá Polom	11	−6	11
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10
14	Břidličná	12	−11	10
15	Bílovec	11	−17	8
16	Frýdlant	11	−30	3