Valašské Meziříčí v Bospor Bohumín prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Valašské Meziříčí 2–1 Bospor Bohumín BOSPOR BOHUMÍN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bospor Bohumín win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.935

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bospor Bohumín are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Valašské Meziříčí 25%, draw 16%, Bospor Bohumín 59%. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 81%.

The AI’s read on Valašské Meziříčí v Bospor BohumínBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Valašské Meziříčí win25%

Draw16%

Bospor Bohumín win59%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup F · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Valašské Meziříčí

Bospor Bohumín

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bospor bohumín winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:08 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Bospor Bohumín a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–3.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Valašské Meziříčí v Bospor Bohumín~~2.02 – 3.11

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 27~~9 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Bospor Bohumín win

Published at 60%, 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Valašské Meziříčí win	25%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Bospor Bohumín win	59%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	87%	–	–
Both teams to score	81%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	73%	–	–
Valašské Meziříčí or draw	41%	–	–
Valašské Meziříčí clean sheet	6%	–	–
Bospor Bohumín clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 5.8%

0123450 2.1 3.1 2.9 2.2 1 4.3 5.8 5.6 4.2 2.62 4.1 5.6 5.4 4.1 2.63 2.7 3.7 3.6 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Valašské Meziříčí down, Bospor Bohumín across0–5 goals a side shown (86.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,164 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.8% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.17 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Valašské Meziříčí at home: 1.83 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 6). Bospor Bohumín away: 4.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.02 goals for Valašské Meziříčí, 3.11 for Bospor Bohumín. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.17

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~BOS 5–3 VAL · VAL 3–4 BOS · BOS 3–1 VAL · VAL 0–1 BOS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 5 Sept

VALAŠSKÉ MEZIŘÍČÍ

WLDWWD4–2 · 2–5 · 2–2 · 6–0 · 3–0 · 1–1

BOSPOR BOHUMÍN

WWWLWW4–2 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 4–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	10	+23	27
2	Kravare	11	+15	26
3	Vratimov	10	+6	21
4	Hlučín	11	+5	20
5	Stonava	10	+5	17
6	Opava II	10	+3	16
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	10	+4	14
8	Nový Jičín	10	−3	14
9	Valašské Meziříčí	10	+4	13
10	Zabreh	10	−1	12
11	Pustá Polom	10	−5	11
12	Břidličná	10	−8	10
13	Šumperk	10	−3	9
14	Frydek-Mistek B	10	−6	9
15	Bílovec	10	−12	8
16	Frýdlant	10	−27	3