Stonava v Zabreh

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Stonava win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Stonava 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–23–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF Stonava v Zabreh
4. 6′We said Stonava at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–1 · 25–21–54
5. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Stonava 0–1 Zabreh
6. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' Stonava win: 47% at kick-off, 25% now
7. 6′THE CALL SWINGS · 6' Zabreh win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Stonava win 25%)
8. 9′We said Stonava at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–22–54
9. 25′We said Stonava at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–13–80
10. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Stonava 0–2 Zabreh
11. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Stonava win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
12. 42′We said Stonava at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
13. 45′HALF-TIME Stonava 0–2 Zabreh
14. 46′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–2 · 4–10–86
15. 46′SECOND HALF Stonava 0–2 Zabreh
16. 55′We said Stonava at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–41–24 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
17. 59′We said Stonava at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–44–23 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
18. 73′We said Stonava at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 0–2 · 0–3–96
19. 92′Goalless on 92′ when we expected about 3.2 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 4–93–3
20. FTFULL TIME Stonava 0–2 Zabreh
21. FTStonava 0–2 Zabreh · Stonava win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.