Pustá Polom v Jiskra Rýmařov prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Pustá PolomDrawJiskra Rýmařov

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Jiskra Rýmařov 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jiskra Rýmařov are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pustá Polom 33%, draw 21%, Jiskra Rýmařov 47%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Pustá Polom v Jiskra RýmařovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Pustá Polom win33%

Draw21%

Jiskra Rýmařov win47%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup F · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pustá Polom

Jiskra Rýmařov

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	11	+9	17
12	Pustá Polom	11	−6	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jiskra rýmařov winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Jiskra Rýmařov a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Pustá Polom v Jiskra Rýmařov~~1.79 – 2.17

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 11 v 17~~12 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pustá Polom win	33%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Jiskra Rýmařov win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Pustá Polom or draw	53%	–	–
Pustá Polom clean sheet	12%	–	–
Jiskra Rýmařov clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.8%

0123450 2.4 4.2 4.6 3.3 1 3.5 7.6 7.8 5.6 3.1 2 3.2 6.5 6.8 4.8 2.7 3 3.9 4.1 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Pustá Polom down, Jiskra Rýmařov across0–5 goals a side shown (95.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,171 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.3% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pustá Polom at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Jiskra Rýmařov away: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for Pustá Polom, 2.17 for Jiskra Rýmařov. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~JIS 2–3 PUS · PUS 1–1 JIS · PUS 1–3 JIS · JIS 3–0 PUS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept

PUSTÁ POLOM

LLWLDL0–1 · 1–4 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 3–4

JISKRA RÝMAŘOV

WWDLLW5–2 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	11	+22	27
2	Vratimov	12	+8	27
3	Kravare	11	+15	26
4	Hlučín	12	+7	23
5	Valašské Meziříčí	12	+6	19
6	Opava II	12	+4	19
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	11	+9	17
8	Stonava	11	+3	17
9	Zabreh	11	+1	15
10	Nový Jičín	12	−4	15
11	Frydek-Mistek B	11	−4	12
12	Pustá Polom	11	−6	11
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10
14	Břidličná	12	−11	10
15	Bílovec	11	−17	8
16	Frýdlant	11	−30	3