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Opava II v Stonava

Opava II

4–1Full time

Stonava

4. liga - Divizie F · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Opava II 4–1 Stonava OPAVA II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Opava II win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.551

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Opava II win at 40%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Opava II 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–22–38
1′KICK-OFF Opava II v Stonava
10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Opava II 1–0 Stonava
21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Opava II 1–0 Stonava
22′We said Opava II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 63%. 1–0 · 63–20–17
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Opava II win: 40% at kick-off, 63% now
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Opava II 1–0 Stonava
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Opava II 1–0 Stonava
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Opava II 1–0 Stonava
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Opava II 2–0 Stonava
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Opava II 2–0 Stonava
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Opava II 2–0 Stonava
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Opava II 2–0 Stonava
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Opava II 2–0 Stonava
45′HALF-TIME Opava II 2–0 Stonava
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Opava II 2–0 Stonava
46′SECOND HALF Opava II 2–0 Stonava
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Opava II 2–0 Stonava
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Opava II 2–1 Stonava
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Opava II 2–1 Stonava
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Opava II 3–1 Stonava
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Opava II 3–1 Stonava
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Opava II 4–1 Stonava
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Opava II 4–1 Stonava
FTFULL TIME Opava II 4–1 Stonava
FTOpava II 4–1 Stonava · Opava II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Opava II win40%

Draw21%

Stonava win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · opava ii winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Opava II a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Opava II win	40%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Stonava win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Opava II or draw	62%	–	–
Opava II clean sheet	17%	–	–
Stonava clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.5%

0123450 2.8 4.6 4.2 2.6 1 4.7 8.5 7.5 4.6 2.1 2 4.4 7.6 6.8 4.2 3 2.8 4.8 4.3 2.6 4 2.3 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Opava II down, Stonava across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,155 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 7.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Opava II at home: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Stonava away: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Opava II, 1.83 for Stonava. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~7.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~STO 3–4 OPA · OPA 2–5 STO

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F

OPAVA II

LWWLLL0–3 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 2–4 · 2–3 · 0–3

STONAVA

LWWDWW1–3 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 4–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	9	+22	24
2	Kravare	9	+11	22
3	Vratimov	9	+7	21
4	Hlučín	9	+8	19
5	Stonava	9	+8	17
6	Jiskra Rýmařov	9	+5	14
7	Nový Jičín	9	+1	14
8	Opava II	9	0	13
9	Valašské Meziříčí	9	+4	12
10	Zabreh	9	−1	11
11	Pustá Polom	9	−5	10
12	Frydek-Mistek B	9	−5	9
13	Šumperk	9	−3	8
14	Břidličná	9	−9	7
15	Bílovec	9	−13	5
16	Frýdlant	9	−30	0