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Opava II v Hlučín

Opava II

1–3Full time

Hlučín

4. liga - Divizie F · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Opava II 1–3 Hlučín OPAVA II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Opava II win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.804

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 35 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Opava II win at 50%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Opava II 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–29
1′KICK-OFF Opava II v Hlučín
8′We said Opava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–21–51
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Opava II 0–1 Hlučín
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' Opava II win: 50% at kick-off, 28% now
8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Hlučín win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Opava II win 49%)
13′GOAL DISALLOWED · 13' Hlučín
13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Opava II win: 50% at kick-off, 48% now
13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Opava II win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Hlučín win 52%)
14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Opava II 0–1 Hlučín
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Opava II win: 50% at kick-off, 26% now
14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Hlučín win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Opava II win 48%)
19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Opava II 1–1 Hlučín
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Opava II win: 50% at kick-off, 47% now
19′THE CALL SWINGS · 19' Opava II win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Hlučín win 53%)
22′GOAL DISALLOWED · 22' Opava II
22′GOAL DISALLOWED · 22' Hlučín
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Opava II 1–1 Hlučín
27′GOAL DISALLOWED · 27' Opava II
27′GOAL DISALLOWED · 27' Hlučín
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Opava II 1–1 Hlučín
41′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–1 · 42–31–27
45′HALF-TIME Opava II 1–1 Hlučín
46′SECOND HALF Opava II 1–1 Hlučín
47′We said Opava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 1–2 · 16–25–60
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Opava II 1–2 Hlučín
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Opava II win: 50% at kick-off, 16% now
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Hlučín win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Opava II win 41%)
50′We said Opava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–25–61
60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Opava II win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
62′We said Opava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–67
74′We said Opava II at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–76
77′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–3–97
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Opava II 1–3 Hlučín
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Opava II win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
86′GOAL DISALLOWED · 86' Opava II
86′GOAL DISALLOWED · 86' Hlučín
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Opava II win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Hlučín win 99%)
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Opava II 1–3 Hlučín
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Opava II win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Hlučín win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw 83%)
FTFULL TIME Opava II 1–3 Hlučín
FTOpava II 1–3 Hlučín · Opava II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Opava II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Opava II 50%, draw 22%, Hlučín 29%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Opava II v HlučínBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Opava II win50%

Draw22%

Hlučín win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup F · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Opava II

Hlučín

7Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

Last match: 16 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Hlučín	11	+5	20
5	Opava II	11	+6	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · opava ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Opava II a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Opava II v Hlučín~~2.05 – 1.50

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 20~~5 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Opava II win	50%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Hlučín win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Opava II or draw	71%	–	–
Opava II clean sheet	23%	–	–
Hlučín clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.5 4.4 3.4 1 5.9 9.0 6.5 3.3 2 6.0 8.6 6.4 3.2 3 4.1 5.8 4.3 2.2 4 2.2 3.1 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Opava II down, Hlučín across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,171 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.3% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Opava II at home: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Hlučín away: 2.00 scored, 2.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.05 goals for Opava II, 1.50 for Hlučín. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept

OPAVA II

WLLLWW3–0 · 2–4 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 4–1 · 4–1

HLUČÍN

WWLDLD5–2 · 4–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	11	+22	27
2	Kravare	11	+15	26
3	Vratimov	11	+7	24
4	Hlučín	11	+5	20
5	Opava II	11	+6	19
6	Jiskra Rýmařov	11	+9	17
7	Stonava	11	+3	17
8	Valašské Meziříčí	11	+5	16
9	Zabreh	11	+1	15
10	Nový Jičín	11	−3	15
11	Frydek-Mistek B	11	−4	12
12	Pustá Polom	11	−6	11
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10
14	Břidličná	11	−10	10
15	Bílovec	11	−17	8
16	Frýdlant	11	−30	3