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Nový Jičín v Vratimov
Nový Jičín
Vratimov4. liga - Divizie F · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Vratimov win at 46%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Vratimov was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 30–24–46
- 1′KICK-OFF Nový Jičín v Vratimov
- 45′HALF-TIME Nový Jičín 0–0 Vratimov
- 46′SECOND HALF Nový Jičín 0–0 Vratimov
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Vratimov win 37%)
- 53′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 25–41–34
- 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 24–42–33
- 63′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 22–49–29
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 71′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 18–58–24
- 76′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 15–66–19
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 81′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 11–76–14
- 85′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–84–9
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 91′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–92–4
- 93′We published Vratimov at 46%. Our model now makes it 98%. 0–1 · 0–2–98
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Nový Jičín 0–1 Vratimov
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 98% now
- 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Vratimov win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 95%)
- 94′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+4' Vratimov
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 2% now
- 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Vratimov win 99%)
- FTFULL TIME Nový Jičín 0–1 Vratimov
- FTNový Jičín 0–1 Vratimov · Vratimov win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Vratimov are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Nový Jičín 30%, draw 24%, Vratimov 46%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Nový Jičín win30%
Vratimov win46%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundGroup F · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Nový JičínMIN
VratimovEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Nový Jičín
Vratimov
Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F
Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Vratimov a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nový Jičín win | 30% | – | – |
| Draw | 24% | – | – |
| Vratimov win | 46% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 59% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | – | – |
| Nový Jičín or draw | 54% | – | – |
| Nový Jičín clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Vratimov clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept
NOVÝ JIČÍN
VRATIMOV
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 11 | +22 | 27 |
| 2 | Kravare | 11 | +15 | 26 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 11 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Opava II | 11 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 11 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 | Stonava | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | Valašské Meziříčí | 11 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 | Zabreh | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 11 | −3 | 15 |
| 11 | Frydek-Mistek B | 11 | −4 | 12 |
| 12 | Pustá Polom | 11 | −6 | 11 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 11 | −3 | 10 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 11 | −10 | 10 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 11 | −17 | 8 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 11 | −30 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Bospor Bohumín
Kravare
Hlučín
Opava II
Jiskra Rýmařov
Stonava
Valašské Meziříčí
Zabreh
Frydek-Mistek B
Pustá Polom
Šumperk
Břidličná
Bílovec
Frýdlant