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Nový Jičín v Vratimov

Nový Jičín
0–1Full time
Vratimov

4. liga - Divizie F · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Nový Jičín 0–1 Vratimov VRATIMOV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Vratimov win46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.444

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vratimov win at 46%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Vratimov was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 30–24–46
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Nový Jičín v Vratimov
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Nový Jičín 0–0 Vratimov
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Nový Jičín 0–0 Vratimov
  6. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
  7. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Vratimov win 37%)
  8. 53′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 25–41–34
  9. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 24–42–33
  10. 63′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 22–49–29
  11. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
  12. 71′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 18–58–24
  13. 76′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 15–66–19
  14. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
  15. 81′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 11–76–14
  16. 85′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–84–9
  17. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
  18. 91′We said Vratimov at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–92–4
  19. 93′We published Vratimov at 46%. Our model now makes it 98%. 0–1 · 0–2–98
  20. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Nový Jičín 0–1 Vratimov
  21. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 98% now
  22. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Vratimov win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 95%)
  23. 94′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+4' Vratimov
  24. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Vratimov win: 46% at kick-off, 2% now
  25. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Vratimov win 99%)
  26. FTFULL TIME Nový Jičín 0–1 Vratimov
  27. FTNový Jičín 0–1 Vratimov · Vratimov win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vratimov are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nový Jičín 30%, draw 24%, Vratimov 46%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Nový Jičín v VratimovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Nový Jičín win30%
Draw24%
Vratimov win46%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup F · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nový Jičín

Vratimov

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Vratimov11+724
10Nový Jičín11−315

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vratimov winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Vratimov a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Nový Jičín v Vratimov1.33 – 1.69
Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 15 v 2410 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:16
Our probability · Vratimov win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nový Jičín win30%––
Draw24%––
Vratimov win46%––
Over 2.5 goals58%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals36%––
Nový Jičín or draw54%––
Nový Jičín clean sheet19%––
Vratimov clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%
0123450 5.5 8.2 7.0 4.0 1 6.4 11.0 8.9 5.0 2.2 2 4.4 7.1 5.8 3.3 3 3.2 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nový Jičín down, Vratimov across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.40
Over 2.51 of 5
Both scored2 of 5
Last meetingsVRA 1–0 NOV · NOV 1–1 VRA · NOV 0–0 VRA · VRA 2–1 NOV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept

NOVÝ JIČÍN

WWLDLD4–2 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 0–0

VRATIMOV

LWWWLW0–3 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 4–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Bospor Bohumín11+2227
2Kravare11+1526
3Vratimov11+724
4Hlučín11+520
5Opava II11+619
6Jiskra Rýmařov11+917
7Stonava11+317
8Valašské Meziříčí11+516
9Zabreh11+115
10Nový Jičín11−315
11Frydek-Mistek B11−412
12Pustá Polom11−611
13Šumperk11−310
14Břidličná11−1010
15Bílovec11−178
16Frýdlant11−303

The competition's standings before kick-off.