Kravare v Šumperk prediction · 4. liga - Divizie F

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KravareDrawŠumperk

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kravare 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kravare are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kravare 61%, draw 22%, Šumperk 18%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Kravare v ŠumperkBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Kravare win61%

Draw22%

Šumperk win18%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup F · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kravare

Šumperk

9Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Kravare	11	+15	26
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kravare winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Kravare a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kravare v Šumperk~~2.02 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 26 v 10~~3 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kravare win	61%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Šumperk win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Kravare or draw	82%	–	–
Kravare clean sheet	38%	–	–
Šumperk clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.0%

0123450 5.7 4.9 2.5 1 10.0 10.0 4.8 2 10.0 9.5 4.7 3 6.7 6.3 3.1 4 3.5 3.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kravare down, Šumperk across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,171 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.3% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Kravare at home: 3.00 scored, 1.20 conceded a game (last 5). Šumperk away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.02 goals for Kravare, 0.98 for Šumperk. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 13 Sept

KRAVARE

LDWWWD1–5 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 0–0

ŠUMPERK

LLLDDD0–1 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	11	+22	27
2	Vratimov	12	+8	27
3	Kravare	11	+15	26
4	Hlučín	12	+7	23
5	Valašské Meziříčí	12	+6	19
6	Opava II	12	+4	19
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	11	+9	17
8	Stonava	11	+3	17
9	Zabreh	11	+1	15
10	Nový Jičín	12	−4	15
11	Frydek-Mistek B	11	−4	12
12	Pustá Polom	11	−6	11
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10
14	Břidličná	12	−11	10
15	Bílovec	11	−17	8
16	Frýdlant	11	−30	3