Jiskra Rýmařov v Bílovec prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Jiskra Rýmařov 5–0 Bílovec JISKRA RÝMAŘOV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Jiskra Rýmařov win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.416

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jiskra Rýmařov are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Jiskra Rýmařov 48%, draw 22%, Bílovec 31%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Jiskra Rýmařov v BílovecBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Jiskra Rýmařov win48%

Draw22%

Bílovec win31%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup F · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jiskra Rýmařov

Bílovec

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

Last match: 11 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	10	+4	14
15	Bílovec	10	−12	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jiskra rýmařov winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:08 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Jiskra Rýmařov a 48% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Jiskra Rýmařov v Bílovec~~1.99 – 1.55

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 4 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 8~~7 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Jiskra Rýmařov win

Published at 49%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jiskra Rýmařov win	48%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Bílovec win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Jiskra Rýmařov or draw	69%	–	–
Jiskra Rýmařov clean sheet	22%	–	–
Bílovec clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.4 4.5 3.6 1 5.7 9.0 6.8 3.6 2 5.7 8.5 6.5 3.4 3 3.8 5.6 4.3 2.2 4 2.9 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jiskra Rýmařov down, Bílovec across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,164 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.8% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.88 goals a meeting; 7 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Jiskra Rýmařov at home: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Bílovec away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.99 goals for Jiskra Rýmařov, 1.55 for Bílovec. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.88

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 8

~~Both scored~~7 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BIL 5–2 JIS · JIS 2–7 BIL · BIL 0–1 JIS · JIS 1–2 BIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 4 Sept

JISKRA RÝMAŘOV

LWWDLL0–1 · 5–2 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 1–2

BÍLOVEC

LWLLDW0–1 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	10	+23	27
2	Kravare	11	+15	26
3	Vratimov	10	+6	21
4	Hlučín	11	+5	20
5	Stonava	10	+5	17
6	Opava II	10	+3	16
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	10	+4	14
8	Nový Jičín	10	−3	14
9	Valašské Meziříčí	10	+4	13
10	Zabreh	10	−1	12
11	Pustá Polom	10	−5	11
12	Břidličná	10	−8	10
13	Šumperk	10	−3	9
14	Frydek-Mistek B	10	−6	9
15	Bílovec	10	−12	8
16	Frýdlant	10	−27	3