Hlučín v Šumperk prediction · 4. liga - Divizie F

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HlučínDrawŠumperk

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hlučín 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hlučín are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hlučín 50%, draw 25%, Šumperk 25%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Hlučín v ŠumperkBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Hlučín win50%

Draw25%

Šumperk win25%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup F · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hlučín

Šumperk

6Days since last match12

Last match: 24 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Hlučín	12	+7	23
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hlučín winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Hlučín a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hlučín v Šumperk~~1.65 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 23 v 10~~4 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hlučín win	50%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Šumperk win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Hlučín or draw	75%	–	–
Hlučín clean sheet	34%	–	–
Šumperk clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 7.2 6.9 3.9 1 10.5 11.6 6.2 2.3 2 8.7 9.1 5.0 3 4.8 5.1 2.8 4 2.1 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hlučín down, Šumperk across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,171 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.3% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Hlučín at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Šumperk away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for Hlučín, 1.09 for Šumperk. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 13 Sept

HLUČÍN

WLDLDW4–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 3–1

ŠUMPERK

LLLDDD0–1 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	11	+22	27
2	Vratimov	12	+8	27
3	Kravare	11	+15	26
4	Hlučín	12	+7	23
5	Valašské Meziříčí	12	+6	19
6	Opava II	12	+4	19
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	11	+9	17
8	Stonava	11	+3	17
9	Zabreh	11	+1	15
10	Nový Jičín	12	−4	15
11	Frydek-Mistek B	11	−4	12
12	Pustá Polom	11	−6	11
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10
14	Břidličná	12	−11	10
15	Bílovec	11	−17	8
16	Frýdlant	11	−30	3