Hlučín v Kravare prediction · 4. liga - Divizie F

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 19:31

Hlučín 0–0 Kravare KRAVARE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kravare win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.921

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kravare win at 44%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Kravare 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 34–22–44
1′KICK-OFF Hlučín v Kravare
45′HALF-TIME Hlučín 0–0 Kravare
46′SECOND HALF Hlučín 0–0 Kravare
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Kravare win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 28–38–34
56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Kravare win 33%)
59′We said Kravare at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 27–41–32
65′We said Kravare at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 24–47–29
73′We said Kravare at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 20–57–23
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Kravare win: 44% at kick-off, 23% now
78′We said Kravare at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 16–66–19
82′We said Kravare at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 12–75–14
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Kravare win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
83′We said Kravare at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–0 · 88–11–1
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Hlučín 1–0 Kravare
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Kravare win: 44% at kick-off, 1% now
83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Hlučín win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
85′GOAL DISALLOWED · 85' Hlučín
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Kravare win: 44% at kick-off, 10% now
85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Hlučín win 9%)
86′We said Kravare at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–83–9
92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Kravare win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
FTFULL TIME Hlučín 0–0 Kravare
FTHlučín 0–0 Kravare · Kravare win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kravare are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hlučín 34%, draw 22%, Kravare 44%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Hlučín v KravareBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Hlučín win34%

Draw22%

Kravare win44%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup F · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hlučín

Kravare

6Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Kravare	10	+15	25
4	Hlučín	10	+5	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kravare winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:02 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Kravare a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hlučín v Kravare~~1.65 – 1.92

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 4 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 19 v 25~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Kravare win

Published at 36%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hlučín win	34%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Kravare win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Hlučín or draw	56%	–	–
Hlučín clean sheet	16%	–	–
Kravare clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.3 5.5 5.2 3.3 1 4.7 9.0 8.2 5.2 2.6 2 4.0 7.1 6.6 4.2 2.1 3 2.2 4.0 3.7 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hlučín down, Kravare across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,163 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Hlučín at home: 2.00 scored, 0.80 conceded a game (last 5). Kravare away: 2.40 scored, 1.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for Hlučín, 1.92 for Kravare. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 4 Sept

HLUČÍN

WWWLDL1–0 · 5–2 · 4–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–3

KRAVARE

WLDWWW1–0 · 1–5 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	10	+23	27
2	Kravare	10	+15	25
3	Vratimov	10	+6	21
4	Hlučín	10	+5	19
5	Stonava	10	+5	17
6	Opava II	10	+3	16
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	10	+4	14
8	Nový Jičín	10	−3	14
9	Valašské Meziříčí	10	+4	13
10	Zabreh	10	−1	12
11	Pustá Polom	10	−5	11
12	Břidličná	10	−8	10
13	Šumperk	10	−3	9
14	Frydek-Mistek B	10	−6	9
15	Bílovec	10	−12	8
16	Frýdlant	10	−27	3