Frýdlant v Opava II prediction · 4. liga - Divizie F

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Frýdlant 1–4 Opava II OPAVA II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Opava II win~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.221

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Opava II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Frýdlant 21%, draw 17%, Opava II 62%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Frýdlant v Opava IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Frýdlant win21%

Draw17%

Opava II win62%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup F · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Frýdlant

Opava II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Opava II	10	+3	16
16	Frýdlant	10	−27	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · opava ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Opava II a 62% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.7, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Frýdlant v Opava II~~1.50 – 2.74

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 3 v 16~~16 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Frýdlant win	21%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Opava II win	62%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	59%	–	–
Frýdlant or draw	38%	–	–
Frýdlant clean sheet	8%	–	–
Opava II clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.7%

0123450 4.2 5.4 4.6 3.2 1 2.5 6.4 7.7 6.6 4.5 2.62 4.7 5.7 4.9 3.3 3 2.4 2.9 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Frýdlant down, Opava II across0–5 goals a side shown (91.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,164 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.8% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.83 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Frýdlant at home: 1.33 scored, 3.17 conceded a game (last 6). Opava II away: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Frýdlant, 2.74 for Opava II. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.83

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~OPA 5–1 FRY · FRY 0–2 OPA · OPA 0–1 FRY · FRY 2–2 OPA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 5 Sept

FRÝDLANT

LLLLLW1–2 · 2–5 · 1–5 · 0–6 · 1–4 · 3–0

OPAVA II

WWLLLW2–1 · 3–0 · 2–4 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	10	+23	27
2	Kravare	11	+15	26
3	Vratimov	10	+6	21
4	Hlučín	11	+5	20
5	Stonava	10	+5	17
6	Opava II	10	+3	16
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	10	+4	14
8	Nový Jičín	10	−3	14
9	Valašské Meziříčí	10	+4	13
10	Zabreh	10	−1	12
11	Pustá Polom	10	−5	11
12	Břidličná	10	−8	10
13	Šumperk	10	−3	9
14	Frydek-Mistek B	10	−6	9
15	Bílovec	10	−12	8
16	Frýdlant	10	−27	3