Frýdlant v Bospor Bohumín prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FrýdlantDrawBospor Bohumín

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Bospor Bohumín 77%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bospor Bohumín are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Frýdlant 11%, draw 12%, Bospor Bohumín 77%. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Frýdlant v Bospor BohumínBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Frýdlant win11%

Draw12%

Bospor Bohumín win77%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup F · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Frýdlant

Bospor Bohumín

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bospor bohumín winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

77% The market–

Us77%

We make Bospor Bohumín a 77% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–3.8, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Frýdlant v Bospor Bohumín~~1.32 – 3.81

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 3 v 27~~16 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Frýdlant win	11%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Bospor Bohumín win	77%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	85%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	71%	–	–
Frýdlant or draw	23%	–	–
Frýdlant clean sheet	4%	–	–
Bospor Bohumín clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 6.4%

0123450 2.9 4.6 5.0 4.4 3.41 3.9 6.0 6.4 5.6 4.22 2.6 4.0 4.3 3.6 2.73 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Frýdlant down, Bospor Bohumín across0–5 goals a side shown (78.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,174 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 75.8% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Frýdlant at home: 1.17 scored, 3.50 conceded a game (last 6). Bospor Bohumín away: 3.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Frýdlant, 3.81 for Bospor Bohumín. Most likely score 1–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~FRY 1–1 BOS · BOS 4–0 FRY · FRY 2–1 BOS · BOS 1–0 FRY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept

FRÝDLANT

LLLLWL2–5 · 1–5 · 0–6 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 1–4

BOSPOR BOHUMÍN

WWLWWL5–1 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	11	+22	27
2	Vratimov	12	+8	27
3	Kravare	11	+15	26
4	Hlučín	12	+7	23
5	Valašské Meziříčí	12	+6	19
6	Opava II	12	+4	19
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	11	+9	17
8	Stonava	11	+3	17
9	Zabreh	11	+1	15
10	Nový Jičín	12	−4	15
11	Frydek-Mistek B	11	−4	12
12	Pustá Polom	11	−6	11
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10
14	Břidličná	12	−11	10
15	Bílovec	11	−17	8
16	Frýdlant	11	−30	3