Frydek-Mistek B v Břidličná

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Frydek-Mistek B win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Frydek-Mistek B was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–22–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Frydek-Mistek B v Břidličná
4. 10′We said Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 0–1 · 26–22–53
5. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Frydek-Mistek B 0–1 Břidličná
6. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Frydek-Mistek B win: 49% at kick-off, 26% now
7. 10′THE CALL SWINGS · 10' Břidličná win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Frydek-Mistek B win 26%)
8. 16′We said Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–22–53
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 20–23–56
10. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Frydek-Mistek B 1–1 Břidličná
11. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Frydek-Mistek B win: 49% at kick-off, 43% now
12. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Frydek-Mistek B win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Břidličná win 28%)
13. 43′We published Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. Our model now makes it 73%. 2–1 · 73–18–8
14. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Frydek-Mistek B 2–1 Břidličná
15. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Frydek-Mistek B win: 49% at kick-off, 73% now
16. 45′HALF-TIME Frydek-Mistek B 2–1 Břidličná
17. 45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Frydek-Mistek B
18. 45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Břidličná
19. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Frydek-Mistek B win: 49% at kick-off, 40% now
20. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Frydek-Mistek B 2–1 Břidličná
21. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Frydek-Mistek B win: 49% at kick-off, 74% now
22. 46′SECOND HALF Frydek-Mistek B 0–0 Břidličná
23. 50′We published Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–18–7
24. 54′We said Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–39–25 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
25. 58′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–42–24 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
26. 61′We said Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 33–44–23
27. 61′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 33–44–23
28. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Frydek-Mistek B 2–2 Břidličná
29. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Frydek-Mistek B win: 49% at kick-off, 33% now
30. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Frydek-Mistek B win 33%)
31. 65′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 79–17–4
32. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Frydek-Mistek B 3–2 Břidličná
33. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Frydek-Mistek B win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
34. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Frydek-Mistek B win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
35. 69′We published Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. Our model now makes it 80%. 3–2 · 80–16–3
36. 76′We published Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. Our model now makes it 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
37. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Frydek-Mistek B win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
38. 82′We published Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. Our model now makes it 99%. 4–2 · 99–1–0
39. 82′6 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 99–1–0
40. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Frydek-Mistek B 4–2 Břidličná
41. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Frydek-Mistek B win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
42. 84′We published Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
43. 92′We said Frydek-Mistek B at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
44. FTFULL TIME Frydek-Mistek B 4–2 Břidličná
45. FTFrydek-Mistek B 4–2 Břidličná · Frydek-Mistek B win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.