Home › Football › 4. liga - Divizie F › Břidličná v Valašské Meziříčí

Břidličná v Valašské Meziříčí

Břidličná

0–1Full time

Valašské Meziříčí

4. liga - Divizie F · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Břidličná 0–1 Valašské Meziříčí VALAŠSKÉ MEZIŘÍČÍ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Valašské Meziříčí win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.466

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Valašské Meziříčí win at 45%.
1′Much as we predicted: Valašské Meziříčí was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 34–21–45
1′KICK-OFF Břidličná v Valašské Meziříčí
45′HALF-TIME Břidličná 0–0 Valašské Meziříčí
46′SECOND HALF Břidličná 0–0 Valašské Meziříčí
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Valašské Meziříčí win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
55′We expected about 3.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 29–37–35
58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Valašské Meziříčí win 36%)
59′We said Valašské Meziříčí at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 27–39–33
62′We published Valašské Meziříčí at 45%. Our model now makes it 74%. 0–1 · 7–20–74
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Břidličná 0–1 Valašské Meziříčí
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Valašské Meziříčí win: 45% at kick-off, 74% now
62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Valašské Meziříčí win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 42%)
65′We published Valašské Meziříčí at 45%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Valašské Meziříčí win: 45% at kick-off, 75% now
74′We published Valašské Meziříčí at 45%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
81′We published Valašské Meziříčí at 45%. Our model now makes it 86%. 0–1 · 1–12–86
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Valašské Meziříčí win: 45% at kick-off, 86% now
82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Valašské Meziříčí
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Valašské Meziříčí win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Valašské Meziříčí win 88%)
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Břidličná 0–1 Valašské Meziříčí
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Valašské Meziříčí win: 45% at kick-off, 89% now
83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Valašské Meziříčí win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 73%)
84′We published Valašské Meziříčí at 45%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Valašské Meziříčí win: 45% at kick-off, 95% now
90′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' Valašské Meziříčí
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Valašské Meziříčí win: 45% at kick-off, 6% now
90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Valašské Meziříčí win 95%)
91′We published Valašské Meziříčí at 45%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Břidličná 0–1 Valašské Meziříčí
91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Valašské Meziříčí win: 45% at kick-off, 95% now
91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Valašské Meziříčí win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 88%)
FTFULL TIME Břidličná 0–1 Valašské Meziříčí
FTBřidličná 0–1 Valašské Meziříčí · Valašské Meziříčí win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Valašské Meziříčí are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Břidličná 34%, draw 21%, Valašské Meziříčí 45%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on Břidličná v Valašské MeziříčíBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Břidličná win34%

Draw21%

Valašské Meziříčí win45%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup F · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Břidličná

Valašské Meziříčí

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Valašské Meziříčí	11	+5	16
14	Břidličná	11	−10	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · valašské meziříčí winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Valašské Meziříčí a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Břidličná v Valašské Meziříčí~~1.81 – 2.09

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 10 v 16~~14 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Valašské Meziříčí win

Published at 44%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Břidličná win	34%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Valašské Meziříčí win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Břidličná or draw	55%	–	–
Břidličná clean sheet	13%	–	–
Valašské Meziříčí clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.9%

0123450 2.5 4.3 4.5 3.1 1 3.7 7.9 7.7 5.3 2.8 2 3.5 6.8 6.8 4.7 2.5 3 2.1 4.1 4.1 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Břidličná down, Valašské Meziříčí across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,171 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.3% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Břidličná at home: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Valašské Meziříčí away: 2.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.81 goals for Břidličná, 2.09 for Valašské Meziříčí. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~BRI 0–2 VAL · VAL 3–1 BRI · BRI 0–4 VAL · VAL 3–0 BRI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept

BŘIDLIČNÁ

LDWLWL2–4 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–4

VALAŠSKÉ MEZIŘÍČÍ

LDWWDW2–5 · 2–2 · 6–0 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	11	+22	27
2	Kravare	11	+15	26
3	Vratimov	11	+7	24
4	Hlučín	11	+5	20
5	Opava II	11	+6	19
6	Jiskra Rýmařov	11	+9	17
7	Stonava	11	+3	17
8	Valašské Meziříčí	11	+5	16
9	Zabreh	11	+1	15
10	Nový Jičín	11	−3	15
11	Frydek-Mistek B	11	−4	12
12	Pustá Polom	11	−6	11
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10
14	Břidličná	11	−10	10
15	Bílovec	11	−17	8
16	Frýdlant	11	−30	3