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Břidličná v Jiskra Rýmařov

Břidličná

2–1Full time

Jiskra Rýmařov

4. liga - Divizie F · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Břidličná 2–1 Jiskra Rýmařov JISKRA RÝMAŘOV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Jiskra Rýmařov win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.694

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Jiskra Rýmařov win at 45%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Jiskra Rýmařov 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 33–22–45
1′KICK-OFF Břidličná v Jiskra Rýmařov
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Břidličná 1–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
45′HALF-TIME Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
46′SECOND HALF Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Břidličná 2–0 Jiskra Rýmařov
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Břidličná 2–1 Jiskra Rýmařov
FTFULL TIME Břidličná 2–1 Jiskra Rýmařov
FTBřidličná 2–1 Jiskra Rýmařov · Jiskra Rýmařov win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Břidličná win33%

Draw22%

Jiskra Rýmařov win45%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jiskra rýmařov winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Jiskra Rýmařov a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Břidličná win	33%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Jiskra Rýmařov win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Břidličná or draw	55%	–	–
Břidličná clean sheet	15%	–	–
Jiskra Rýmařov clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.3 5.6 5.3 3.4 1 4.7 9.0 8.3 5.3 2.6 2 3.9 7.1 6.6 4.2 2.1 3 2.1 3.9 3.6 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Břidličná down, Jiskra Rýmařov across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,155 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 3.33 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Břidličná at home: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Jiskra Rýmařov away: 2.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Břidličná, 1.93 for Jiskra Rýmařov. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~5 of 6

~~Last meetings~~JIS 0–2 BRI · BRI 3–2 JIS · BRI 2–2 JIS · JIS 3–1 BRI

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F

BŘIDLIČNÁ

WLLDWL3–1 · 0–1 · 2–4 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–2

JISKRA RÝMAŘOV

DLWWDL2–2 · 0–1 · 5–2 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	9	+22	24
2	Kravare	9	+11	22
3	Vratimov	9	+7	21
4	Hlučín	9	+8	19
5	Stonava	9	+8	17
6	Jiskra Rýmařov	9	+5	14
7	Nový Jičín	9	+1	14
8	Opava II	9	0	13
9	Valašské Meziříčí	9	+4	12
10	Zabreh	9	−1	11
11	Pustá Polom	9	−5	10
12	Frydek-Mistek B	9	−5	9
13	Šumperk	9	−3	8
14	Břidličná	9	−9	7
15	Bílovec	9	−13	5
16	Frýdlant	9	−30	0