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Bospor Bohumín v Frydek-Mistek B

Bospor Bohumín

2–1Full time

Frydek-Mistek B

4. liga - Divizie F · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B BOSPOR BOHUMÍN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bospor Bohumín win~~77%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.080

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 33 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bospor Bohumín win at 77%.
1′KICK-OFF Bospor Bohumín v Frydek-Mistek B
3′Much as we predicted: Bospor Bohumín was 77% before kick-off and our model makes it 78% now. 0–0 · 78–12–10
5′Much as we predicted: Bospor Bohumín was 77% before kick-off and our model makes it 78% now. 0–0 · 78–12–10
21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Bospor Bohumín 1–0 Frydek-Mistek B
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Bospor Bohumín 1–0 Frydek-Mistek B
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 88% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 78% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 88% now
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Bospor Bohumín 1–0 Frydek-Mistek B
27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 88% now
27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 78% now
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 78% now
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 88% now
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 88% now
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Bospor Bohumín 2–0 Frydek-Mistek B
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
45′We published Bospor Bohumín at 77%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–1
45′HALF-TIME Bospor Bohumín 2–0 Frydek-Mistek B
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Bospor Bohumín 2–0 Frydek-Mistek B
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 96% now
46′SECOND HALF Bospor Bohumín 2–0 Frydek-Mistek B
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 96% now
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 96% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 96% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 96% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Bospor Bohumín win: 77% at kick-off, 96% now
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
FTFULL TIME Bospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B
FTBospor Bohumín 2–1 Frydek-Mistek B · Bospor Bohumín win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 3–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Bospor Bohumín win77%

Draw12%

Frydek-Mistek B win11%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Bospor Bohumín

Frydek-Mistek B

8Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Bospor Bohumín	9	+22	24
13	Frydek-Mistek B	9	−5	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bospor bohumín winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

77% The market–

Us77%

We make Bospor Bohumín a 77% chance to win. The model expects 3.7–1.4, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bospor Bohumín win	77%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Frydek-Mistek B win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	86%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	72%	–	–
Bospor Bohumín or draw	89%	–	–
Bospor Bohumín clean sheet	26%	–	–
Frydek-Mistek B clean sheet	3%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 6.7%

0123450 1 2.7 3.7 2.6 2 4.4 6.0 4.1 3 5.0 6.7 4.6 2.2 4 4.4 5.8 4.0 5 3.3 4.3 2.9

under 2% 5% 12%+Bospor Bohumín down, Frydek-Mistek B across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,159 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.9% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Bospor Bohumín at home: 3.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Frydek-Mistek B away: 1.25 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

3.69 goals for Bospor Bohumín, 1.39 for Frydek-Mistek B. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F

BOSPOR BOHUMÍN

WWWWLW4–1 · 4–2 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 4–1

FRYDEK-MISTEK B

LLLWWW1–2 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 5–1 · 3–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kravare	10	+15	25
2	Bospor Bohumín	9	+22	24
3	Vratimov	9	+7	21
4	Hlučín	10	+5	19
5	Stonava	10	+5	17
6	Opava II	10	+3	16
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	10	+4	14
8	Nový Jičín	10	−3	14
9	Valašské Meziříčí	9	+4	12
10	Zabreh	9	−1	11
11	Pustá Polom	9	−5	10
12	Břidličná	10	−8	10
13	Frydek-Mistek B	9	−5	9
14	Šumperk	9	−3	8
15	Bílovec	9	−13	5
16	Frýdlant	10	−27	3