Bílovec v Frydek-Mistek B prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BílovecDrawFrydek-Mistek B

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Bílovec 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bílovec are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bílovec 44%, draw 22%, Frydek-Mistek B 34%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Bílovec v Frydek-Mistek BBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Bílovec win44%

Draw22%

Frydek-Mistek B win34%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup F · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bílovec

Frydek-Mistek B

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie F

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Frydek-Mistek B	11	−4	12
15	Bílovec	11	−17	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bílovec winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Bílovec a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bílovec v Frydek-Mistek B~~1.91 – 1.65

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 12~~15 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bílovec win	44%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Frydek-Mistek B win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Bílovec or draw	66%	–	–
Bílovec clean sheet	20%	–	–
Frydek-Mistek B clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.4 4.7 4.0 2.2 1 5.4 9.1 7.1 3.9 2 5.3 8.3 6.6 3.7 3 3.4 5.3 4.3 2.3 4 2.6 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bílovec down, Frydek-Mistek B across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,171 4. liga - Divizie F matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie F matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.3% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Bílovec at home: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Frydek-Mistek B away: 1.20 scored, 2.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Bílovec, 1.65 for Frydek-Mistek B. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie F this season · since 12 Sept

BÍLOVEC

WLLDWL1–0 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–5

FRYDEK-MISTEK B

LWWWLW1–2 · 5–1 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	11	+22	27
2	Vratimov	12	+8	27
3	Kravare	11	+15	26
4	Hlučín	12	+7	23
5	Valašské Meziříčí	12	+6	19
6	Opava II	12	+4	19
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	11	+9	17
8	Stonava	11	+3	17
9	Zabreh	11	+1	15
10	Nový Jičín	12	−4	15
11	Frydek-Mistek B	11	−4	12
12	Pustá Polom	11	−6	11
13	Šumperk	11	−3	10
14	Břidličná	12	−11	10
15	Bílovec	11	−17	8
16	Frýdlant	11	−30	3