Tatran Všechovice v Brumov prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Tatran Všechovice 3–0 Brumov TATRAN VŠECHOVICE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tatran Všechovice win~~77%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.082

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Tatran Všechovice win at 77%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Tatran Všechovice 77% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 76–13–11
1′KICK-OFF Tatran Všechovice v Brumov
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Tatran Všechovice 1–0 Brumov
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Tatran Všechovice win: 77% at kick-off, 88% now
44′We said Tatran Všechovice at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–1
44′The goal count is tracking the 4.6 we expected. 2–0 · 97–3–1
44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Tatran Všechovice 2–0 Brumov
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Tatran Všechovice win: 77% at kick-off, 97% now
45′We said Tatran Všechovice at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 63%. 0–0 · 63–23–13
45′HALF-TIME Tatran Všechovice 2–0 Brumov
46′SECOND HALF Tatran Všechovice 2–0 Brumov
49′GOAL DISALLOWED · 49' Tatran Všechovice
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Tatran Všechovice win: 77% at kick-off, 61% now
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Tatran Všechovice 2–0 Brumov
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Tatran Všechovice win: 77% at kick-off, 97% now
57′We said Tatran Všechovice at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 56%. 0–0 · 56–30–14
57′Goalless on 57′ when we expected about 4.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 56–30–14
61′We said Tatran Všechovice at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
61′We said Tatran Všechovice at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 0–0 · 53–34–13
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Tatran Všechovice 3–0 Brumov
FTFULL TIME Tatran Všechovice 3–0 Brumov
FTTatran Všechovice 3–0 Brumov · Tatran Všechovice win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 3–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tatran Všechovice are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tatran Všechovice 77%, draw 13%, Brumov 11%. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Tatran Všechovice v BrumovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Tatran Všechovice win77%

Draw13%

Brumov win11%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup E · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tatran Všechovice

Brumov

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

Last match: 11 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tatran všechovice winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

77% The market–

Us77%

We make Tatran Všechovice a 77% chance to win. The model expects 3.4–1.2, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tatran Všechovice v Brumov~~3.43 – 1.20

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 5 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 27 v 7~~1 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tatran Všechovice win	77%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
Brumov win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	82%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	66%	–	–
Tatran Všechovice or draw	89%	–	–
Tatran Všechovice clean sheet	31%	–	–
Brumov clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.2%

0123450 1 3.7 4.6 2.8 2 5.8 6.9 4.2 3 6.2 7.2 4.3 4 5.2 5.9 3.5 5 3.7 4.1 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Tatran Všechovice down, Brumov across0–5 goals a side shown (84.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,109 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.9% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tatran Všechovice at home: 3.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Brumov away: 1.67 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.43 goals for Tatran Všechovice, 1.20 for Brumov. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TAT 1–1 BRU · BRU 0–4 TAT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 5 Sept

TATRAN VŠECHOVICE

WLWWWW4–0 · 3–4 · 6–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 7–0

BRUMOV

LLLLWL2–5 · 1–3 · 0–5 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	+29	27
2	Strání	11	+21	25
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
4	SK Krumvir	11	+5	22
5	Sokol Lanžhot	10	+5	21
6	Prostejov B	11	+3	18
7	Šternberk	11	+3	17
8	Slavičín	10	+3	16
9	Břeclav	11	+2	15
10	Hluk	10	+6	14
11	Holešov	10	+2	13
12	Bzenec	11	−10	9
13	Brumov	10	−16	7
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7
15	Kroměříž II	11	−12	6
16	Baťov	11	−33	0