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SK Krumvir v Kozlovice
SK Krumvir
Kozlovice4. liga - Divizie E · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kozlovice win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kozlovice 50% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 27–23–49
- 1′KICK-OFF SK Krumvir v Kozlovice
- 15′We said Kozlovice at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–0 · 53–23–25
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' SK Krumvir 1–0 Kozlovice
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Kozlovice win: 50% at kick-off, 25% now
- 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' SK Krumvir win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Kozlovice win 25%)
- 16′We said Kozlovice at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 53–23–24
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Kozlovice win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 56–24–20
- 32′We said Kozlovice at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 56–24–19
- 42′We said Kozlovice at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 2–0 · 84–11–5
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' SK Krumvir 2–0 Kozlovice
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Kozlovice win: 50% at kick-off, 5% now
- 44′We said Kozlovice at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 85–11–4
- 45′HALF-TIME SK Krumvir 2–0 Kozlovice
- 46′SECOND HALF SK Krumvir 2–0 Kozlovice
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' SK Krumvir 3–0 Kozlovice
- 55′We said Kozlovice at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 23–41–36 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Kozlovice win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 56′Goalless on 56′ when we expected about 3.2 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 23–42–35 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 60′We said Kozlovice at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 22–45–33 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 80′We said Kozlovice at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 81′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME SK Krumvir 3–0 Kozlovice
- FTSK Krumvir 3–0 Kozlovice · Kozlovice win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassKozlovice are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SK Krumvir 27%, draw 23%, Kozlovice 50%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
SK Krumvir win27%
Kozlovice win50%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup E · matchday 12
Match timeline
All events
SK KrumvirMIN
KozloviceEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SK Krumvir
Kozlovice
Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E
Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kozlovice a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SK Krumvir win | 27% | 30% | −3 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Kozlovice win | 50% | 45% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 63% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 81% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 40% | −1 |
| SK Krumvir or draw | 50% | 55% | −5 |
| SK Krumvir clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Kozlovice clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 5 Sept
SK KRUMVIR
KOZLOVICE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 10 | +29 | 27 |
| 2 | Strání | 10 | +23 | 25 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 10 | +18 | 24 |
| 4 | Sokol Lanžhot | 10 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 | SK Krumvir | 10 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Šternberk | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavičín | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Břeclav | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 | Prostejov B | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Hluk | 10 | +6 | 14 |
| 11 | Holešov | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Brumov | 10 | −16 | 7 |
| 13 | Bzenec | 10 | −17 | 6 |
| 14 | Kroměříž II | 10 | −12 | 5 |
| 15 | Nové Sady | 10 | −25 | 4 |
| 16 | Baťov | 10 | −26 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Tatran Všechovice
Strání
Sokol Lanžhot
Šternberk
Slavičín
Břeclav
Prostejov B
Hluk
Holešov
Brumov
Bzenec
Kroměříž II
Nové Sady
Baťov