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Prostejov B v Šternberk

Prostejov B

3–2Full time

Šternberk

4. liga - Divizie E · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Prostejov B 3–2 Šternberk PROSTEJOV B WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Prostejov B win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.317

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 49 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Prostejov B win at 54%.
1′Much as we predicted: Prostejov B was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–21–25
1′KICK-OFF Prostejov B v Šternberk
10′We said Prostejov B at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–1 · 31–22–47
10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Prostejov B 0–1 Šternberk
10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 31% now
10′THE CALL SWINGS · 10' Šternberk win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Prostejov B win 53%)
11′GOAL DISALLOWED · 11' Šternberk
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 52% now
11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Prostejov B win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Šternberk win 47%)
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Prostejov B 0–1 Šternberk
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 30% now
11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Šternberk win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Prostejov B win 52%)
14′We said Prostejov B at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–22–48
20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Prostejov B 1–1 Šternberk
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 51% now
20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Prostejov B win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Šternberk win 49%)
41′Goals are coming at about the 3.6 we expected. 1–1 · 45–31–24
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 44% now
45′HALF-TIME Prostejov B 1–1 Šternberk
46′SECOND HALF Prostejov B 1–1 Šternberk
49′We said Prostejov B at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 1–1 · 42–34–23
56′We said Prostejov B at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–39–22
60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Prostejov B win 39%)
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 34% now
70′GOAL DISALLOWED · 70' Prostejov B
70′GOAL DISALLOWED · 70' Šternberk
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Prostejov B 1–1 Šternberk
72′We said Prostejov B at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 1–2 · 6–22–72
72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Prostejov B 1–2 Šternberk
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 6% now
72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Šternberk win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 55%)
75′We said Prostejov B at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
78′GOAL DISALLOWED · 78' Prostejov B
78′GOAL DISALLOWED · 78' Šternberk
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 21% now
78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Šternberk win 78%)
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Prostejov B 1–2 Šternberk
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 3% now
78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Šternberk win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 66%)
87′4 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 10–84–6
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Prostejov B 2–2 Šternberk
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 10% now
87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Šternberk win 89%)
87′GOAL DISALLOWED · 87' Prostejov B
87′GOAL DISALLOWED · 87' Šternberk
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Prostejov B 2–2 Šternberk
92′We published Prostejov B at 54%. Our model now makes it 97%. 3–2 · 97–3–0
92′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+2' Prostejov B
92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, under 1% now
92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Šternberk win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 91%)
92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Prostejov B 3–2 Šternberk
92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 97% now
92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Prostejov B win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Šternberk win 95%)
93′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 98–2–0
95′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+5' Prostejov B
95′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+5' Šternberk
95′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+5' Prostejov B win: 54% at kick-off, 2% now
95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Prostejov B win 98%)
FTFULL TIME Prostejov B 3–2 Šternberk
FTProstejov B 3–2 Šternberk · Prostejov B win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Prostejov B are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Prostejov B 54%, draw 21%, Šternberk 25%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Prostejov B v ŠternberkBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Prostejov B win54%

Draw21%

Šternberk win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:30

RoundGroup E · matchday 13

VenueStadion Za Mistnim nadrazim

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Prostejov B

Šternberk

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie E

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Prostejov B	11	+3	18
8	Šternberk	11	+3	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · prostejov b winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Prostejov B a 54% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Prostejov B v Šternberk~~2.17 – 1.42

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 18 v 17~~7 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Prostejov B win	54%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Šternberk win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Prostejov B or draw	75%	–	–
Prostejov B clean sheet	25%	–	–
Šternberk clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.3 3.9 2.9 1 6.0 8.7 5.9 2.8 2 6.5 8.9 6.2 3.0 3 4.7 6.4 4.5 2.1 4 2.6 3.5 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Prostejov B down, Šternberk across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,113 4. liga - Divizie E matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie E matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.9% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Prostejov B at home: 2.40 scored, 2.20 conceded a game (last 5). Šternberk away: 2.00 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.17 goals for Prostejov B, 1.42 for Šternberk. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie E this season · since 12 Sept

PROSTEJOV B

LDWLWW1–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 2–0

ŠTERNBERK

LLWWWD1–3 · 1–6 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 4–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	11	+32	30
2	Strání	12	+27	28
3	Kozlovice	11	+15	24
4	SK Krumvir	11	+5	22
5	Sokol Lanžhot	11	+5	22
6	Slavičín	11	+5	19
7	Prostejov B	11	+3	18
8	Šternberk	11	+3	17
9	Hluk	11	+6	15
10	Břeclav	11	+2	15
11	Holešov	11	0	13
12	Bzenec	11	−10	9
13	Brumov	11	−19	7
14	Nové Sady	11	−23	7
15	Kroměříž II	11	−12	6
16	Baťov	12	−39	0